New York Mets
04:05 PM
ATS Picks on June 28, 2025
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Earned Runs Prop Odds:
Earned Runs 2.5 over: -105
Earned Runs 2.5 under: -135
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Paul Blackburn in the 12th percentile when assessing his overall pitching talent.
PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to more offense.
The weather report forecasts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for batters.
Among all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop
Roberto Ortiz profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be behind the plate in this game.
PNC Park profiles as the #28 venue in the majors for home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The league's 6th-highest fence height (on average) can be found at PNC Park.
Considering that groundball pitchers have a big edge over groundball hitters, Paul Blackburn and his 45.7% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a strong position in today's outing facing 3 opposing GB hitters.
In his previous start, Paul Blackburn performed well and gave up 0 ER.
Paul Blackburn is projected to have 2.8 Earned Runs in today's game.
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Strikeouts Prop Odds:
Strikeouts 3.5 over: -125
Strikeouts 3.5 under: -105
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop
Roberto Ortiz profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be behind the plate in this game.
Considering that groundball pitchers have a big edge over groundball hitters, Paul Blackburn and his 45.7% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a strong position in today's outing facing 3 opposing GB hitters.
Paul Blackburn's four-seam fastball percentage has dropped by 10.9% from last year to this one (19.5% to 8.6%) .
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop
When assessing his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Paul Blackburn in the 16th percentile among all starters in the game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Blackburn to throw 85 pitches in this game (11th-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
PNC Park projects as the #24 stadium in MLB for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to more offense.
The weather report forecasts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
Paul Blackburn is projected to have 3.5 Strikeouts in today's game.
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Consensus | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hits Allowed | ov 5.5 (-107) | ov 5.5 (-105) | - | ov 5.5 (-105) | ov 5.5 (-103) | ov 5.5 (-105) |
Total Earned Runs Allowed | ov 2.5 (-103) | ov 2.5 (-105) | - | ov 2.5 (-105) | ov 2.5 (100) | ov 2.5 (100) |
Total Pitching Strikeouts | ov 3.5 (-116) | ov 3.5 (-120) | ov 3.5 (-120) | ov 3.5 (-125) | ov 3.5 (-113) | ov 3.5 (-115) |
Walks Allowed | ov 1.5 (-123) | ov 1.5 (-120) | - | - | ov 1.5 (-125) | - |
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