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Nolan Arenado

St. Louis Cardinals

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Philadelphia Phillies

06:45 PM

May 12, 2025

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St. Louis Cardinals

  • Projections
  • Props

Home Runs

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Home Runs Prop Odds:

Home Runs 0.5 over: 525

Home Runs 0.5 under: -769

Trends Favoring The Over Home Runs Prop

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

The weather report predicts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.

Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Nolan Arenado will have an advantage in today's game.

Nolan Arenado pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.2% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

Trends Favoring The Under Home Runs Shots Prop

Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.

Nolan Arenado will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.

In the past 14 days, Nolan Arenado's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal EV of 89.9 mph to 87.7 mph.

Nolan Arenado's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (8.3°) is quite a bit lower than his 12° angle last season.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Nolan Arenado has been very fortunate this year. His .322 figure has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .288.

Nolan Arenado is projected to have 0.1 Home Runs in today's game.

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Hits

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Hits Prop Odds:

Hits 0.5 over: -250

Hits 0.5 under: 195

Trends Favoring The Over Hits Prop

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

The weather report predicts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.

Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Nolan Arenado will have an advantage in today's game.

Nolan Arenado pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.2% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

Trends Favoring The Under Hits Shots Prop

Nolan Arenado's BABIP talent is projected in the 8th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The #7 field in the majors for suppressing base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.

Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.

Nolan Arenado will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.

In the past 14 days, Nolan Arenado's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal EV of 89.9 mph to 87.7 mph.

Nolan Arenado is projected to have 1 Hits in today's game.

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Total Bases

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Total Bases Prop Odds:

Total Bases 1.5 over: 125

Total Bases 1.5 under: -156

Trends Favoring The Over Total Bases Prop

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

The weather report predicts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.

Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Nolan Arenado will have an advantage in today's game.

Nolan Arenado pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.2% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

Trends Favoring The Under Total Bases Shots Prop

Nolan Arenado's BABIP talent is projected in the 8th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The #7 field in the majors for suppressing base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.

Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.

Nolan Arenado will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.

In the past 14 days, Nolan Arenado's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal EV of 89.9 mph to 87.7 mph.

Nolan Arenado is projected to have 1.4 Total Bases in today's game.

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RBIs

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RBIs Prop Odds:

RBIs 0.5 over: 155

RBIs 0.5 under: -210

Trends Favoring The Over RBIs Prop

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

The weather report predicts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.

Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Nolan Arenado will have an advantage in today's game.

Nolan Arenado pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.2% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

Trends Favoring The Under RBIs Shots Prop

Nolan Arenado's BABIP talent is projected in the 8th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The #7 field in the majors for suppressing base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.

Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.

Nolan Arenado will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.

In the past 14 days, Nolan Arenado's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal EV of 89.9 mph to 87.7 mph.

Nolan Arenado is projected to have 0.5 RBIs in today's game.

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Hits Runs and RBIs

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Hits Runs and RBIs Prop Odds:

Hits Runs and RBIs 1.5 over: -125

Hits Runs and RBIs 1.5 under: -105

Trends Favoring The Over Hits Runs and RBIs Prop

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

The weather report predicts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.

Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Nolan Arenado will have an advantage in today's game.

Nolan Arenado pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.2% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

Trends Favoring The Under Hits Runs and RBIs Shots Prop

Nolan Arenado's BABIP talent is projected in the 8th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The #7 field in the majors for suppressing base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.

Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.

Nolan Arenado will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.

In the past 14 days, Nolan Arenado's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal EV of 89.9 mph to 87.7 mph.

Nolan Arenado is projected to have 1.9 Hits Runs and RBIs in today's game.

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Nolan Arenado Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings BetMGM Caesars
Doubles
ov 0.5 (334)
un 0.5 (-518)
ov 0.5 (330)
un 0.5 (-500)
ov 0.5 (340)
un 0.5 (-500)
ov 0.5 (334)
un 0.5 (-554)
Singles
ov 0.5 (-125)
un 0.5 (-108)
ov 0.5 (-125)
un 0.5 (-110)
ov 0.5 (-125)
un 0.5 (-105)
ov 0.5 (-125)
un 0.5 (-109)
Total Bases
ov 1.5 (118)
un 1.5 (-164)
ov 1.5 (115)
un 1.5 (-165)
ov 1.5 (115)
un 1.5 (-160)
ov 1.5 (120)
un 1.5 (-166)
Total Hits
ov 0.5 (-244)
un 0.5 (177)
ov 0.5 (-240)
un 0.5 (175)
ov 0.5 (-250)
un 0.5 (185)
ov 0.5 (-244)
un 0.5 (172)
Total Hits, Runs, & RBIs
ov 1.5 (-130)
un 1.5 (-106)
ov 1.5 (-130)
un 1.5 (-110)
ov 1.5 (-130)
un 1.5 (100)
ov 1.5 (-129)
un 1.5 (-106)
Total Home Runs
ov 0.5 (525)
un 0.5 (-750)
-
ov 0.5 (525)
un 0.5 (-750)
-
Total RBIs
ov 0.5 (160)
un 0.5 (-221)
ov 0.5 (155)
un 0.5 (-220)
ov 0.5 (160)
un 0.5 (-210)
ov 0.5 (165)
un 0.5 (-234)
Total Runs
ov 0.5 (120)
un 0.5 (-167)
ov 0.5 (120)
un 0.5 (-170)
ov 0.5 (120)
un 0.5 (-165)
ov 0.5 (120)
un 0.5 (-166)
Total Walks
ov 0.5 (235)
un 0.5 (-350)
ov 0.5 (235)
un 0.5 (-350)
-
ov 0.5 (227)
un 0.5 (-339)

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