Mitch Keller Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -185

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 130

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

Compared to the average starter, Mitch Keller has been given an above-average leash since the start of last season, tallying an extra 4.7 adjusted pitches each outing.

It may be wise to expect negative regression for the Cleveland Guardians offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 10th-luckiest offense in the majors this year.

John Tumpane profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is scheduled to be in charge of the strike zone in today's game.

The league's 6th-highest fences can be found at PNC Park.

This matchup is forecasted to have the 5th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the majors for batting average.

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.

The Cleveland Guardians have 7 bats in the projected lineup that will hold the platoon advantage over Mitch Keller today.

Mitch Keller's 92.9-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a notable 1.6-mph fall off from last year's 94.5-mph mark.

Grading out in the 23rd percentile, Mitch Keller put up a 9.2% Swinging Strike percentage since the start of last season.

Mitch Keller is projected to have 17.7 Pitching Outs in today's game.

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: 100

Strikeouts 4.5 under: -130

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Compared to the average starter, Mitch Keller has been given an above-average leash since the start of last season, tallying an extra 4.7 adjusted pitches each outing.

The Cleveland Guardians have 3 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Austin Hedges, Gabriel Arias, Nolan Jones).

John Tumpane profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is scheduled to be in charge of the strike zone in today's game.

This matchup is forecasted to have the 5th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Because groundball pitchers hold a big advantage over groundball hitters, Mitch Keller and his 31.5% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a favorable spot in this game matching up with 2 opposing GB hitters.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 8th-worst ballpark in baseball for strikeouts.

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.

The Cleveland Guardians have 7 bats in the projected lineup that will hold the platoon advantage over Mitch Keller today.

Mitch Keller's 92.9-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a notable 1.6-mph fall off from last year's 94.5-mph mark.

Grading out in the 23rd percentile, Mitch Keller put up a 9.2% Swinging Strike percentage since the start of last season.

Mitch Keller is projected to have 4.9 Strikeouts in today's game.

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: -100

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -140

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the majors for batting average.

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.

The Cleveland Guardians have 7 bats in the projected lineup that will hold the platoon advantage over Mitch Keller today.

Mitch Keller's 92.9-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a notable 1.6-mph fall off from last year's 94.5-mph mark.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

It may be wise to expect negative regression for the Cleveland Guardians offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 10th-luckiest offense in the majors this year.

John Tumpane profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is scheduled to be in charge of the strike zone in today's game.

The league's 6th-highest fences can be found at PNC Park.

This matchup is forecasted to have the 5th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Mitch Keller is an extreme flyball pitcher (31.5% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is fortunate enough to be pitching in the #26 HR venue among all parks today.

Mitch Keller is projected to have 2.8 Earned Runs in today's game.