Michael Lorenzen projections, stats and prop bet odds for Kansas City Royals at Washington Nationals on Sep 25, 2024
Michael Lorenzen Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 3.5 over: 140
- Strikeouts 3.5 under: -180
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
The Washington Nationals have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Joey Gallo, Jose Tena, James Wood).
It is anticipated that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (Doug Eddings) calling pitches in today's game.
Michael Lorenzen's 2385-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 79th percentile among all starting pitchers.
Michael Lorenzen has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts this year, compiling a 6.57 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.19 — a 0.61 K/9 discrepancy.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
When assessing his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Michael Lorenzen in the 25th percentile among all starters in the majors.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Michael Lorenzen to be on a bit of a short leash in this matchup, projecting a maximum of 68 pitches.
High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-most humidity of all games on the slate today at 91%.
The Washington Nationals have 6 batters in the projected lineup that will hold the platoon advantage against Michael Lorenzen in this game.
Michael Lorenzen will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
Projection For Today's Michael Lorenzen Strikeouts Prop Bet
Michael Lorenzen is projected to have 3.4 Strikeouts in todays game.
Michael Lorenzen Player Prop Bet: Pitching Outs
Pitching Outs Prop Bet Odds:
- Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -115
- Pitching Outs 17.5 under: -121
Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop Bet
The 2nd-weakest projected offense of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall offensive ability is that of the the Washington Nationals.
It may be best to expect negative regression for the Washington Nationals offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 3rd-luckiest offense in baseball this year.
It is anticipated that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (Doug Eddings) calling pitches in today's game.
Nationals Park profiles as the #25 venue in the game for base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Michael Lorenzen was firing on all cylinders in his previous start and allowed 0 ER.
Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Michael Lorenzen to be on a bit of a short leash in this matchup, projecting a maximum of 68 pitches.
Nationals Park has the 5th-shallowest right field fences in MLB.
High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-most humidity of all games on the slate today at 91%.
The Washington Nationals have 6 batters in the projected lineup that will hold the platoon advantage against Michael Lorenzen in this game.
Michael Lorenzen will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
Projection For Today's Michael Lorenzen Pitching Outs Prop Bet
Michael Lorenzen is projected to have 12.6 Pitching Outs in todays game.
