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Michael Lorenzen

Kansas City Royals

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Seattle Mariners

09:40 PM

Jul 1, 2025

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Kansas City Royals

  • Projections
  • Props

Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 16.5 over: -120

Pitching Outs 16.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

The Seattle Mariners have been the 5th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress going forward

The #1 ballpark in the majors for suppressing batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.

T-Mobile Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which often leads to worse offense.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most suitable for pitching on the slate.

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.9-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for pitchers.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

In Major League Baseball, T-Mobile Park's RF fences are the 2nd-shallowest.

Playing on the road typically lowers pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Michael Lorenzen in today's matchup.

Seattle Mariners batters as a unit place 10th- in the game for power this year when assessing with their 9.1% Barrel%.

Michael Lorenzen is projected to have 16.1 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: -130

Earned Runs 2.5 under: 100

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

In Major League Baseball, T-Mobile Park's RF fences are the 2nd-shallowest.

Playing on the road typically lowers pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Michael Lorenzen in today's matchup.

Seattle Mariners batters as a unit place 10th- in the game for power this year when assessing with their 9.1% Barrel%.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The Seattle Mariners have been the 5th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress going forward

The #1 ballpark in the majors for suppressing batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.

T-Mobile Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which often leads to worse offense.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most suitable for pitching on the slate.

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.9-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for pitchers.

Michael Lorenzen is projected to have 2.9 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: 115

Strikeouts 4.5 under: -160

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The #2 ballpark in baseball for boosting strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.

T-Mobile Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which often leads to worse offense.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most suitable for pitching on the slate.

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.9-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for pitchers.

Considering that groundball hitters are less effective against groundball pitchers, Michael Lorenzen (35.1% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this matchup with 2 GB hitters in the opposing team's projected batting order.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Playing on the road typically lowers pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Michael Lorenzen in today's matchup.

Michael Lorenzen is projected to have 4.6 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Michael Lorenzen Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars Fanatics
Hits Allowed
ov 5.5 (114)
un 5.5 (-156)
ov 4.5 (-170)
un 4.5 (120)
-
ov 5.5 (105)
un 5.5 (-150)
ov 5.5 (112)
un 5.5 (-154)
ov 5.5 (110)
un 5.5 (-145)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (-137)
un 2.5 (101)
ov 2.5 (-125)
un 2.5 (100)
-
ov 2.5 (-145)
un 2.5 (100)
ov 2.5 (-137)
un 2.5 (100)
ov 2.5 (-140)
un 2.5 (105)
Total Outs Recorded
ov 16.5 (-112)
un 16.5 (-120)
ov 16.5 (-110)
un 16.5 (-120)
ov 16.5 (-118)
un 16.5 (-108)
ov 16.5 (-110)
un 16.5 (-125)
ov 16.5 (-113)
un 16.5 (-121)
ov 16.5 (-110)
un 16.5 (-120)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 4.5 (-108)
un 4.5 (-123)
ov 4.5 (-110)
un 4.5 (-120)
ov 4.5 (-104)
un 4.5 (-122)
ov 4.5 (100)
un 4.5 (-135)
ov 4.5 (-109)
un 4.5 (-125)
ov 4.5 (-105)
un 4.5 (-125)

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