Michael King Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 1.5 over: -160

Earned Runs 1.5 under: 115

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The Houston Astros have been the 4th-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in future games

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Minute Maid Park as the 9th-best park in baseball for home runs.

In Major League Baseball, Minute Maid Park's LF fences are the 2nd-shallowest.

Michael King is an extreme flyball pitcher (32.9% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #9 HR venue in Major League Baseball today.

Given that flyball pitchers are least effective against groundball hitters, Michael King (32.9% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 3 GB hitters in Houston's projected offense.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Michael King in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall pitching talent level.

Among all stadiums, the 3rd-tallest fence height (on average) are at Minute Maid Park.

With 7 bats who bat from the same side in the opposing team's projected batting order, Michael King ought to benefit from owning the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.

With a 3.38 FIP since the start of last season (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that concentrates on the things a pitcher has the most control over), Michael King places him the 84th percentile.

Houston's 91.3-mph exit velocity on flyballs ranks them as the #27 club in the majors since the start of last season by this standard.

Michael King is projected to have 2.6 Earned Runs in today's game.

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 5.5 over: -160

Strikeouts 5.5 under: 125

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

When estimating his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Michael King in the 93rd percentile among all starters in the league.

Throwing 99.6 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Michael King places in the 98th percentile.

The #8 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.

Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which often leads to worse offense.

With 7 bats who bat from the same side in the opposing team's projected batting order, Michael King ought to benefit from owning the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 4th-least strikeout-heavy lineup in today's games is the Houston Astros with a 20.4% underlying K%.

Given that flyball pitchers are least effective against groundball hitters, Michael King (32.9% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 3 GB hitters in Houston's projected offense.

Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Michael King today.

Michael King has experienced some positive variance in regards to his strikeouts since the start of last season, posting a 10.33 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.88 — a 0.45 K/9 difference.

Michael King is projected to have 5.8 Strikeouts in today's game.

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -200

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 150

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Michael King in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall pitching talent level.

Throwing 99.6 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Michael King places in the 98th percentile.

Among all stadiums, the 3rd-tallest fence height (on average) are at Minute Maid Park.

With 7 bats who bat from the same side in the opposing team's projected batting order, Michael King ought to benefit from owning the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.

With a 3.38 FIP since the start of last season (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that concentrates on the things a pitcher has the most control over), Michael King places him the 84th percentile.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The Houston Astros have been the 4th-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in future games

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Minute Maid Park as the 9th-best park in baseball for home runs.

In Major League Baseball, Minute Maid Park's LF fences are the 2nd-shallowest.

Michael King is an extreme flyball pitcher (32.9% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #9 HR venue in Major League Baseball today.

Given that flyball pitchers are least effective against groundball hitters, Michael King (32.9% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 3 GB hitters in Houston's projected offense.

Michael King is projected to have 17.8 Pitching Outs in today's game.