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Max Fried

New York Yankees

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Tampa Bay Rays

01:40 PM

Apr 20, 2025

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New York Yankees

  • Projections
  • Props

Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 5.5 over: -160

Strikeouts 5.5 under: 115

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Max Fried in the 81st percentile when assessing his strikeout ability.

Compared to the average pitcher, Max Fried has been granted more leash than the average pitcher since the start of last season, throwing an additional 6.8 adjusted pitches each game.

Projected catcher Austin Wells projects as an elite pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

George M. Steinbrenner Field ranks as the #9 venue in Major League Baseball for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Given his large reverse platoon split, Max Fried will be at an advantage matching up with 7 bats in the projected batting order of opposing handedness in today's game.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Max Fried will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.

Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Max Fried has gone to his off-speed and breaking balls 8.6% less often this year (42.3%) than he did last season (50.9%).

Max Fried's 2216-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 22nd percentile out of all starters.

Max Fried is projected to have 5.6 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 125

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -170

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

George M. Steinbrenner Field has the 9th-lowest fences in Major League Baseball.

The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Max Fried will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.

Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Max Fried has gone to his off-speed and breaking balls 8.6% less often this year (42.3%) than he did last season (50.9%).

Max Fried's 2216-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 22nd percentile out of all starters.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Max Fried as the 5th-best starter in the league currently.

It may be sensible to expect negative regression for the Tampa Bay Rays offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 7th-luckiest offense in baseball this year.

Projected catcher Austin Wells projects as an elite pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks George M. Steinbrenner Field as the 6th-worst field in baseball for batting average.

Among all major league parks, George M. Steinbrenner Field's centerfield fences are the 5th-deepest.

Max Fried is projected to have 2.2 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 18.5 over: 135

Pitching Outs 18.5 under: -185

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Max Fried as the 5th-best starter in the league currently.

Compared to the average pitcher, Max Fried has been granted more leash than the average pitcher since the start of last season, throwing an additional 6.8 adjusted pitches each game.

It may be sensible to expect negative regression for the Tampa Bay Rays offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 7th-luckiest offense in baseball this year.

Projected catcher Austin Wells projects as an elite pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks George M. Steinbrenner Field as the 6th-worst field in baseball for batting average.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

George M. Steinbrenner Field has the 9th-lowest fences in Major League Baseball.

The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Max Fried will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.

Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Max Fried has gone to his off-speed and breaking balls 8.6% less often this year (42.3%) than he did last season (50.9%).

Max Fried's 2216-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 22nd percentile out of all starters.

Max Fried is projected to have 18.4 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Max Fried Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars Fanatics
Hits Allowed
ov 5.5 (100)
un 5.5 (-139)
ov 5.5 (100)
un 5.5 (-140)
-
ov 5.5 (100)
un 5.5 (-140)
ov 5.5 (100)
un 5.5 (-137)
-
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (123)
un 2.5 (-172)
ov 2.5 (125)
un 2.5 (-170)
-
ov 2.5 (120)
un 2.5 (-175)
ov 2.5 (120)
un 2.5 (-166)
-
Total Outs Recorded
ov 18.5 (134)
un 18.5 (-188)
ov 18.5 (135)
un 18.5 (-185)
ov 18.5 (136)
un 18.5 (-188)
ov 18.5 (130)
un 18.5 (-190)
ov 18.5 (133)
un 18.5 (-184)
-
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 6.5 (126)
un 6.5 (-168)
ov 6.5 (125)
un 6.5 (-160)
ov 6.5 (132)
un 6.5 (-170)
ov 6.5 (125)
un 6.5 (-160)
ov 6.5 (120)
un 6.5 (-166)
ov 5.5 (-150)
un 5.5 (115)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (-117)
un 1.5 (-117)
ov 1.5 (-120)
un 1.5 (-115)
-
-
ov 1.5 (-114)
un 1.5 (-118)
-

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