Matthew Boyd projections, stats and prop bet odds for Cleveland Guardians at St. Louis Cardinals on Sep 21, 2024

Matthew Boyd Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts

Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:

  • Strikeouts 5.5 over: 115
  • Strikeouts 5.5 under: -150

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet

When assessing his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Matthew Boyd in the 90th percentile among all SPs in MLB.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Bo Naylor (the Guardians's expected catcher today) projects as a good pitch framer.

Matthew Boyd has used his change-up 8% more often this season (26.7%) than he did last year (18.7%).

Matthew Boyd has posted a 14.5% Swinging Strike% this year, ranking in the 94th percentile.

Matthew Boyd has compiled a 26.4% strikeout rate since the start of last season, grading out in the 86th percentile.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet

The #5 stadium in baseball for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 85ยฐ.

The St. Louis Cardinals have 7 batters in the projected batting order that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Boyd in this game.

Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Matthew Boyd today.

Matthew Boyd's fastball spin rate has dropped 143 rpm this season (2360 rpm) below where it was last year (2503 rpm).

Projection For Today's Matthew Boyd Strikeouts Prop Bet

Matthew Boyd is projected to have 5.1 Strikeouts in todays game.