San Diego Padres
06:35 PM
ATS Picks on June 30, 2025
Read Projection
Earned Runs Prop Odds:
Earned Runs 2.5 over: -170
Earned Runs 2.5 under: 120
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop
The best projected offense of the day in terms of overall batting skill belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.
Chad Fairchild grades out as a Hitters Umpire and is expected to be calling pitches in this game.
Projected catcher Martin Maldonado projects as a weak pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The 9th-shallowest LF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Citizens Bank Park.
Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop
Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.
The San Diego Padres outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest out of every team in action today.
Matt Waldron's high utilization percentage of his secondary pitches (66.6% since the start of last season) should work in his favor consider they are typically much more effective than fastballs.
With a 0.62 gap between Matt Waldron's 4.91 ERA and his 4.29 FIP, it's safe to say he's been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the game since the start of last season and ought to positively regress going forward.
Matt Waldron is projected to have 3.3 Earned Runs in today's game.
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Read Projection
Strikeouts Prop Odds:
Strikeouts 3.5 over: -147
Strikeouts 3.5 under: 115
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop
Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.
Matt Waldron's high utilization percentage of his secondary pitches (66.6% since the start of last season) should work in his favor consider they are typically much more effective than fastballs.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Matt Waldron is projected to throw 82 pitches in today's game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the least on the slate today.
Chad Fairchild grades out as a Hitters Umpire and is expected to be calling pitches in this game.
Projected catcher Martin Maldonado projects as a weak pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°.
The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for bats.
Matt Waldron is projected to have 3.4 Strikeouts in today's game.
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Consensus | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hits Allowed | ov 5.5 (109) | ov 5.5 (105) | - | ov 5.5 (110) | ov 5.5 (108) | ov 5.5 (110) |
Total Earned Runs Allowed | ov 2.5 (-163) | ov 2.5 (-170) | - | ov 2.5 (-165) | ov 2.5 (-174) | ov 2.5 (-165) |
Total Pitching Strikeouts | ov 3.5 (-132) | ov 3.5 (-140) | ov 3.5 (-125) | ov 3.5 (-130) | ov 3.5 (-129) | ov 3.5 (-125) |
Walks Allowed | ov 1.5 (-119) | ov 1.5 (-120) | - | - | ov 1.5 (-117) | - |
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