Miami Marlins
09:40 PM
ATS Picks on May 27, 2025
Read Projection
Total Bases Prop Odds:
Total Bases 0.5 over: 110
Total Bases 0.5 under: -141
Trends Favoring The Over Total Bases Prop
Petco Park has the 6th-lowest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.
Matt Mervis will hold the platoon advantage over Stephen Kolek in today's matchup.
Matt Mervis has big-time power (88th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (31% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Stephen Kolek struggles to strike batters out (7th percentile K%) — great news for Mervis.
Matt Mervis's quickness has gotten better this season. His 24.56 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.21 ft/sec now.
In terms of power, Matt Mervis is positioned in the 90th percentile, having hit 26.8 homers per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.
Trends Favoring The Under Total Bases Shots Prop
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Mervis in the 2nd percentile when assessing his batting average skill.
Matt Mervis is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.
This year, Matt Mervis has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 44% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.
Petco Park profiles as the #25 field in MLB for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Petco Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.
Matt Mervis is projected to have 0.6 Total Bases in today's game.
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Read Projection
Home Runs Prop Odds:
Home Runs 0.5 over: 900
Home Runs 0.5 under: -2500
Trends Favoring The Over Home Runs Prop
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Mervis in the 88th percentile when assessing his home run ability.
Petco Park grades out as the #9 field in baseball for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Petco Park has the 6th-lowest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.
Matt Mervis will hold the platoon advantage over Stephen Kolek in today's matchup.
Matt Mervis has big-time power (88th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (31% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Stephen Kolek struggles to strike batters out (7th percentile K%) — great news for Mervis.
Trends Favoring The Under Home Runs Shots Prop
Matt Mervis is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.
This year, Matt Mervis has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 44% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.
Petco Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.
Matt Mervis pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.8% — 94th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league's 6th-deepest RF fences today.
Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Matt Mervis today.
Matt Mervis is projected to have 0.1 Home Runs in today's game.
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Read Projection
RBIs Prop Odds:
RBIs 0.5 over: 375
RBIs 0.5 under: -556
Trends Favoring The Over RBIs Prop
Petco Park has the 6th-lowest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.
Matt Mervis will hold the platoon advantage over Stephen Kolek in today's matchup.
Matt Mervis has big-time power (88th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (31% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Stephen Kolek struggles to strike batters out (7th percentile K%) — great news for Mervis.
Matt Mervis's quickness has gotten better this season. His 24.56 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.21 ft/sec now.
In terms of power, Matt Mervis is positioned in the 90th percentile, having hit 26.8 homers per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.
Trends Favoring The Under RBIs Shots Prop
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Mervis in the 2nd percentile when assessing his batting average skill.
Matt Mervis is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.
This year, Matt Mervis has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 44% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.
Petco Park profiles as the #25 field in MLB for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Petco Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.
Matt Mervis is projected to have 0.3 RBIs in today's game.
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Read Projection
Hits Runs and RBIs Prop Odds:
Hits Runs and RBIs 0.5 over: -116
Hits Runs and RBIs 0.5 under: -116
Trends Favoring The Over Hits Runs and RBIs Prop
Petco Park has the 6th-lowest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.
Matt Mervis will hold the platoon advantage over Stephen Kolek in today's matchup.
Matt Mervis has big-time power (88th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (31% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Stephen Kolek struggles to strike batters out (7th percentile K%) — great news for Mervis.
Matt Mervis's quickness has gotten better this season. His 24.56 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.21 ft/sec now.
In terms of power, Matt Mervis is positioned in the 90th percentile, having hit 26.8 homers per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.
Trends Favoring The Under Hits Runs and RBIs Shots Prop
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Mervis in the 2nd percentile when assessing his batting average skill.
Matt Mervis is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.
This year, Matt Mervis has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 44% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.
Petco Park profiles as the #25 field in MLB for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Petco Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.
Matt Mervis is projected to have 1.4 Hits Runs and RBIs in today's game.
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Read Projection
Hits Prop Odds:
Hits 0.5 over: 110
Hits 0.5 under: -145
Trends Favoring The Over Hits Prop
Matt Mervis will hold the platoon advantage over Stephen Kolek in today's matchup.
Matt Mervis's quickness has gotten better this season. His 24.56 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.21 ft/sec now.
Trends Favoring The Under Hits Shots Prop
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Mervis in the 2nd percentile when assessing his batting average skill.
Matt Mervis is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.
This year, Matt Mervis has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 44% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.
The #5 park in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.
Petco Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.
Matt Mervis is projected to have 0.6 Hits in today's game.
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Consensus | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Doubles | ov 0.5 (687) | ov 0.5 (700) | ov 0.5 (675) | - |
Singles | ov 0.5 (185) | ov 0.5 (180) | ov 0.5 (190) | ov 0.5 (178) |
Total Bases | ov 0.5 (104) | ov 0.5 (105) | ov 0.5 (105) | ov 0.5 (104) |
Total Hits | ov 0.5 (100) | ov 0.5 (105) | ov 0.5 (110) | ov 0.5 (100) |
Total Hits, Runs, & RBIs | ov 0.5 (-117) | ov 0.5 (-120) | ov 0.5 (-115) | ov 0.5 (-117) |
Total Home Runs | ov 0.5 (875) | - | ov 0.5 (875) | - |
Total RBIs | ov 0.5 (311) | ov 0.5 (350) | ov 0.5 (360) | ov 0.5 (311) |
Total Runs | ov 0.5 (236) | ov 0.5 (270) | ov 0.5 (270) | ov 0.5 (236) |
Total Walks | ov 0.5 (323) | ov 0.5 (330) | - | ov 0.5 (323) |
