Martin Perez MLB projections and prop bets for San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks on Sep 29, 2024
Martin Perez Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Earned Runs 2.5 over: -139
- Earned Runs 2.5 under: 102
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet
The Arizona Diamondbacks projected lineup projects as the 5th-strongest of all teams today in terms of overall offensive ability.
Stu Scheurwater projects as a Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be in charge of the strike zone today.
Chase Field grades out as the #2 venue in MLB for BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to better offense.
The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 6° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet
Projected catcher Kyle Higashioka grades out as a good pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Among all major league parks, Chase Field's CF fences are the 3rd-deepest.
Martin Perez performed well in his previous start and allowed 1 ER.
Martin Perez has used his sinker 5.2% less often this year (35.6%) than he did last year (40.8%).
Martin Perez has posted a .314 BABIP this year, a sign that he has been one of the unluckiest mound aces in the game on balls in play with better performance likely coming.
Projection For Martin Perez Earned Runs Prop Bet
Martin Perez is projected to have 3.2 Earned Runs in this weeks game.
Martin Perez Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 3.5 over: 124
- Strikeouts 3.5 under: -158
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
Projected catcher Kyle Higashioka grades out as a good pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Martin Perez has used his sinker 5.2% less often this year (35.6%) than he did last year (40.8%).
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
When assessing his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Martin Perez in the 16th percentile among all SPs in the majors.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Martin Perez to throw 84 pitches in this matchup (14th-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 4th-least strikeout-heavy lineup in today's games is the Arizona Diamondbacks with a 19.8% underlying K%.
Stu Scheurwater projects as a Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be in charge of the strike zone today.
Chase Field ranks as the #24 venue in Major League Baseball for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Projection For Martin Perez Strikeouts Prop Bet
Martin Perez is projected to have 3.3 Strikeouts in this weeks game.
