Lucas Giolito Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: -130

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

Fenway Park profiles as the #2 ballpark in MLB for batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences in the league.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters.

Lucas Giolito has a reverse platoon split and will be disadvantaged squaring off against 6 same-handed hitters today.

Given that groundball pitchers are least effective against flyball hitters, Lucas Giolito (36.8% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 2 FB hitters in Toronto's projected batting order.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

Brock Ballou grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be calling pitches today.

Among all major league stadiums, the 2nd-highest fence height (on average) are at Fenway Park.

As far as temperature and humidity go, the most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.

Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Boston Red Sox.

Home field advantage typically improves pitcher metrics in all categories, and Lucas Giolito will hold that advantage in today's game.

Lucas Giolito is projected to have 3 Earned Runs in today's game.

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: 105

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: -140

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

Brock Ballou grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be calling pitches today.

Among all major league stadiums, the 2nd-highest fence height (on average) are at Fenway Park.

As far as temperature and humidity go, the most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.

Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Boston Red Sox.

Home field advantage typically improves pitcher metrics in all categories, and Lucas Giolito will hold that advantage in today's game.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

Fenway Park profiles as the #2 ballpark in MLB for batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences in the league.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters.

Lucas Giolito has a reverse platoon split and will be disadvantaged squaring off against 6 same-handed hitters today.

Given that groundball pitchers are least effective against flyball hitters, Lucas Giolito (36.8% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 2 FB hitters in Toronto's projected batting order.

Lucas Giolito is projected to have 16.8 Pitching Outs in today's game.

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 3.5 over: -172

Strikeouts 3.5 under: 132

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Lucas Giolito in the 75th percentile as it relates to his strikeout ability.

Brock Ballou grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be calling pitches today.

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to lower offensive output.

As far as temperature and humidity go, the most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.

Home field advantage typically improves pitcher metrics in all categories, and Lucas Giolito will hold that advantage in today's game.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the least strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today is the Toronto Blue Jays with a 17.2% underlying K%.

The #1 park in Major League Baseball for suppressing strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters.

Lucas Giolito has a reverse platoon split and will be disadvantaged squaring off against 6 same-handed hitters today.

Given that groundball pitchers are least effective against flyball hitters, Lucas Giolito (36.8% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 2 FB hitters in Toronto's projected batting order.

Lucas Giolito is projected to have 4 Strikeouts in today's game.