Louie Varland Prop projections for Colorado Rockies at Minnesota Twins on Jun 11, 2024
Louie Varland Player Prop: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Odds:
- Earned Runs 2.5 over: 102
- Earned Runs 2.5 under: -139
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop
The Colorado Rockies have been the 9th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress going forward
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 10th-best stadium in the league for BABIP.
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate.
The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.3-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.
Louie Varland has compiled a 5.50 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that concentrates on the aspects of pitching most within the pitcher's control) since the start of last season, ranking in the 12th percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop
The worst projected lineup of all teams today in terms of overall hitting skill is that of the Colorado Rockies.
It is likely that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Lance Barrett) behind the plate in today's game.
Among all major league parks, Target Field's CF fences are the 10th-deepest.
The league's 5th-tallest fence height (on average) can be found at Target Field.
Louie Varland will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats across the board.
Louie Varland Earned Runs Prop Projection
Louie Varland is projected to have 2.5 Earned Runs in todays game.
Louie Varland Player Prop: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Odds:
- Strikeouts 5.5 over: 120
- Strikeouts 5.5 under: -152
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop
The Colorado Rockies have 6 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Michael Toglia, Ryan McMahon, Ezequiel Tovar, Brenton Doyle, Hunter Goodman, Jake Cave).
It is likely that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Lance Barrett) behind the plate in today's game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 10th-best field in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.
Louie Varland will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats across the board.
This year, Louie Varland has added a new pitch to his pitch mix (a curveball), mixing it in on 21.8% of his pitches.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop
Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude in the league, which often leads to higher offensive output.
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate.
The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.3-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.
Louie Varland struggled when it came to striking batters out in his last start and notched 2 Ks.
Considering the 1.47 deviation between Louie Varland's 9.46 K/9 and his 7.99 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the luckiest pitchers in Major League Baseball since the start of last season as it relates to strikeouts and ought to see worse results in the future.
Louie Varland Strikeouts Prop Projection
Louie Varland is projected to have 5.8 Strikeouts in todays game.
Louie Varland Player Prop: Pitching Outs
Pitching Outs Prop Odds:
- Pitching Outs 15.5 over: -127
- Pitching Outs 15.5 under: -103
Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop
The worst projected lineup of all teams today in terms of overall hitting skill is that of the Colorado Rockies.
It is likely that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Lance Barrett) behind the plate in today's game.
Among all major league parks, Target Field's CF fences are the 10th-deepest.
The league's 5th-tallest fence height (on average) can be found at Target Field.
Louie Varland will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats across the board.
Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Prop
The Colorado Rockies have been the 9th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress going forward
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 10th-best stadium in the league for BABIP.
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate.
The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.3-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.
Louie Varland has compiled a 5.50 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that concentrates on the aspects of pitching most within the pitcher's control) since the start of last season, ranking in the 12th percentile.
Louie Varland Pitching Outs Prop Projection
Louie Varland is projected to have 16.8 Pitching Outs in todays game.
