New York Mets
Strikeouts Prop Odds:
Strikeouts 5.5 over: 120
Strikeouts 5.5 under: -160
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Kodai Senga in the 90th percentile when estimating his strikeout ability.
The Miami Marlins have 4 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Kyle Stowers, Matt Mervis, Griffin Conine, Derek Hill).
Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which tends to lead to worse offense.
Kodai Senga was firing on all cylinders in his previous outing and put up 9 strikeouts.
Out of all SPs, Kodai Senga's fastball velocity of 95.8 mph is in the 88th percentile since the start of last season.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Kodai Senga to have a pitch count today, projecting a maximum of 84 pitches.
Mark Wegner grades out as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is likely to be calling pitches today.
LoanDepot Park profiles as the #22 ballpark in baseball for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 15° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.
Kodai Senga will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
Kodai Senga is projected to have 5.5 Strikeouts in today's game.