Los Angeles Dodgers
04:10 PM
ATS Picks on June 11, 2025
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Earned Runs Prop Odds:
Earned Runs 2.5 over: -135
Earned Runs 2.5 under: 100
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Justin Wrobleski in the 17th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching abilities.
Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball.
Petco Park has the 4th-lowest fences in the league.
Justin Wrobleski is an extreme flyball pitcher (33.4% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #9 HR venue in the league in this matchup.
The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams in action today.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 3rd-worst venue in MLB for walks.
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most suitable for pitching of all games on the slate.
Over his previous 3 outings, Justin Wrobleski has experienced a sizeable increase in his fastball velocity: from 93.3 mph over the entire season to 96.3 mph lately.
Justin Wrobleski's 94.8-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season is in the 77th percentile among all starting pitchers.
Justin Wrobleski has been unlucky since the start of last season, putting up a 6.14 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.99 — a 1.15 deviation.
Justin Wrobleski is projected to have 2.6 Earned Runs in today's game.
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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:
Pitching Outs 15.5 over: -105
Pitching Outs 15.5 under: -125
Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 3rd-worst venue in MLB for walks.
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most suitable for pitching of all games on the slate.
Over his previous 3 outings, Justin Wrobleski has experienced a sizeable increase in his fastball velocity: from 93.3 mph over the entire season to 96.3 mph lately.
Justin Wrobleski's 94.8-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season is in the 77th percentile among all starting pitchers.
Justin Wrobleski has been unlucky since the start of last season, putting up a 6.14 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.99 — a 1.15 deviation.
Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Justin Wrobleski in the 17th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching abilities.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Wrobleski to throw 73 pitches in this game (3rd-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball.
Petco Park has the 4th-lowest fences in the league.
Justin Wrobleski is an extreme flyball pitcher (33.4% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #9 HR venue in the league in this matchup.
Justin Wrobleski is projected to have 12.7 Pitching Outs in today's game.
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Strikeouts Prop Odds:
Strikeouts 3.5 over: -110
Strikeouts 3.5 under: -122
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop
Petco Park profiles as the #7 venue in MLB for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which often leads to less offense.
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most suitable for pitching of all games on the slate.
Over his previous 3 outings, Justin Wrobleski has experienced a sizeable increase in his fastball velocity: from 93.3 mph over the entire season to 96.3 mph lately.
Justin Wrobleski's 94.8-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season is in the 77th percentile among all starting pitchers.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Wrobleski to throw 73 pitches in this game (3rd-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
The San Diego Padres (19.4 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 3rd-least strikeout-prone group of batters of all teams today.
Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Justin Wrobleski in today's game.
Justin Wrobleski's high utilization rate of his fastball (58.3% since the start of last season) is likely weakening his results, consider they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
Justin Wrobleski has posted an 8.3% Swinging Strike% since the start of last season, placing in the 23rd percentile.
Justin Wrobleski is projected to have 2.8 Strikeouts in today's game.
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Consensus | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hits Allowed | ov 5.5 (-108) | ov 5.5 (-110) | - | ov 5.5 (-105) | ov 5.5 (-109) |
Total Earned Runs Allowed | ov 2.5 (-134) | ov 2.5 (-135) | - | ov 2.5 (-135) | ov 2.5 (-137) |
Total Outs Recorded | ov 16.5 (148) | ov 15.5 (105) | ov 16.5 (148) | ov 15.5 (110) | ov 15.5 (133) |
Total Pitching Strikeouts | ov 3.5 (104) | ov 3.5 (-105) | ov 3.5 (-102) | ov 3.5 (100) | ov 3.5 (108) |
Walks Allowed | ov 1.5 (-148) | ov 1.5 (-165) | - | - | ov 1.5 (-148) |
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