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Justin Steele

Chicago Cubs

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Chicago Cubs

07:40 PM

Apr 7, 2025

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Texas Rangers

  • Projections
  • Props

Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 5.5 over: -125

Strikeouts 5.5 under: -105

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Justin Steele has averaged 92.4 adjusted pitches per outing since the start of last season, checking in at the 75th percentile.

It is likely that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (Bill Miller) calling pitches today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Wrigley Field as the 4th-best park in the game for strikeouts.

Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 5th-coldest temperature of all games today at 35°.

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 19.6-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hurlers.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense.

Justin Steele's fastball velocity has dropped 1 mph this season (90.5 mph) below where it was last year (91.5 mph).

Considering the 0.71 discrepancy between Justin Steele's 8.86 K/9 and his 8.15 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the luckiest pitchers in MLB since the start of last season in terms of strikeouts and ought to see worse results in the future.

Justin Steele is projected to have 6 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 1.5 over: -120

Earned Runs 1.5 under: -115

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The Texas Rangers have been the unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball since the start of last season, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better going forward

Justin Steele has compiled a staggering 6.89 ERA over his last 3 outings.

Justin Steele's fastball velocity has dropped 1 mph this season (90.5 mph) below where it was last year (91.5 mph).

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Justin Steele in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching talent level.

It is likely that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (Bill Miller) calling pitches today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Wrigley Field as the 7th-worst park in Major League Baseball for walks.

Among all major league stadiums, Wrigley Field's RF fences are the 5th-deepest.

Among all stadiums, the 7th-highest fence height (on average) are at Wrigley Field.

Justin Steele is projected to have 1.7 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 18.5 over: 155

Pitching Outs 18.5 under: -213

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Justin Steele in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching talent level.

Justin Steele has averaged 92.4 adjusted pitches per outing since the start of last season, checking in at the 75th percentile.

It is likely that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (Bill Miller) calling pitches today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Wrigley Field as the 7th-worst park in Major League Baseball for walks.

Among all major league stadiums, Wrigley Field's RF fences are the 5th-deepest.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The Texas Rangers have been the unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball since the start of last season, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better going forward

Justin Steele has compiled a staggering 6.89 ERA over his last 3 outings.

Justin Steele's fastball velocity has dropped 1 mph this season (90.5 mph) below where it was last year (91.5 mph).

Justin Steele is projected to have 18.9 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Justin Steele Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars Fanatics
Hits Allowed
ov 4.5 (-108)
un 4.5 (-129)
ov 4.5 (-110)
un 4.5 (-130)
-
ov 4.5 (-105)
un 4.5 (-135)
ov 4.5 (-109)
un 4.5 (-125)
-
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 1.5 (-115)
un 1.5 (-121)
ov 1.5 (-120)
un 1.5 (-115)
-
ov 1.5 (-120)
un 1.5 (-118)
-
-
Total Outs Recorded
ov 17.5 (-200)
un 17.5 (143)
ov 17.5 (-215)
un 17.5 (155)
ov 17.5 (-178)
un 17.5 (132)
ov 17.5 (-200)
un 17.5 (135)
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-
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 5.5 (-116)
un 5.5 (-115)
ov 5.5 (-125)
un 5.5 (-105)
ov 5.5 (-106)
un 5.5 (-120)
ov 5.5 (-140)
un 5.5 (110)
ov 5.5 (-109)
un 5.5 (-125)
ov 5.5 (-120)
un 5.5 (-110)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (135)
un 1.5 (-185)
ov 1.5 (135)
un 1.5 (-185)
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-
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