Toronto Blue Jays
04:10 PM
ATS Picks on May 11, 2025
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Earned Runs Prop Odds:
Earned Runs 2.5 over: -120
Earned Runs 2.5 under: -115
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Jose Urena in the 3rd percentile when estimating his overall pitching skills.
It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Mark Ripperger) behind the plate in this game.
In the league, T-Mobile Park's RF dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest.
The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters.
Given that flyball pitchers are hit hardest by groundball hitters, Jose Urena (45.9% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 3 GB hitters in Seattle's projected batting order.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop
It may be wise to expect negative regression for the Seattle Mariners offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 3rd-luckiest offense in MLB this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects T-Mobile Park as the worst venue in the game for batting average.
T-Mobile Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which tends to lead to worse offense.
As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.
The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense projects as the strongest out of all the teams playing today.
Jose Urena is projected to have 2.7 Earned Runs in today's game.
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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:
Pitching Outs 14.5 over: 110
Pitching Outs 14.5 under: -152
Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop
It may be wise to expect negative regression for the Seattle Mariners offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 3rd-luckiest offense in MLB this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects T-Mobile Park as the worst venue in the game for batting average.
T-Mobile Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which tends to lead to worse offense.
As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.
The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense projects as the strongest out of all the teams playing today.
Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Jose Urena in the 3rd percentile when estimating his overall pitching skills.
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Jose Urena is projected to throw 80 pitches in this game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 5th-least on the slate.
It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Mark Ripperger) behind the plate in this game.
In the league, T-Mobile Park's RF dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest.
The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters.
Jose Urena is projected to have 13.9 Pitching Outs in today's game.
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Strikeouts Prop Odds:
Strikeouts 3.5 over: 124
Strikeouts 3.5 under: -158
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop
The Seattle Mariners have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Dylan Moore, Mitch Garver, Cal Raleigh).
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles T-Mobile Park as the 2nd-best park in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.
T-Mobile Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which tends to lead to worse offense.
As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.
Jose Urena's 95.7-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season ranks in the 90th percentile among all starting pitchers.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop
As it relates to his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Jose Urena in the 2nd percentile among all starting pitchers in Major League Baseball.
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Jose Urena is projected to throw 80 pitches in this game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 5th-least on the slate.
It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Mark Ripperger) behind the plate in this game.
The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters.
Given that flyball pitchers are hit hardest by groundball hitters, Jose Urena (45.9% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 3 GB hitters in Seattle's projected batting order.
Jose Urena is projected to have 3.2 Strikeouts in today's game.
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Consensus | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Hits Allowed | ov 4.5 (-129) | ov 4.5 (-130) | - | - |
Total Earned Runs Allowed | ov 2.5 (-120) | ov 2.5 (-120) | - | - |
Total Pitching Strikeouts | ov 3.5 (122) | ov 3.5 (120) | ov 3.5 (124) | ov 3.5 (120) |
Walks Allowed | ov 1.5 (-180) | ov 1.5 (-180) | - | - |
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