Jesús Luzardo Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 1.5 over: -135

Earned Runs 1.5 under: 100

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

J.T. Realmuto, the Phillies's expected catcher today, profiles as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Citizens Bank Park has the 9th-shallowest LF fences among all major league parks.

With 6 bats who bat from the other side in the opposing team's projected offense, Jesus Luzardo will be at a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's matchup.

Given that groundball pitchers struggle the most against flyball hitters, Jesus Luzardo (35.6% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in today's game with 4 FB hitters in Miami's projected lineup.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s appraisal, Jesus Luzardo's overall pitching talent ranks in the 87th percentile out of all starting pitchers in the league currently.

The Miami Marlins projected offense profiles as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate in terms of overall batting ability.

The Miami Marlins have been the 7th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress in future games

It is expected that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (Ron Kulpa) behind the plate today.

Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #22 park in the game for BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Jesus Luzardo is projected to have 2 Earned Runs in today's game.

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -184

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 133

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s appraisal, Jesus Luzardo's overall pitching talent ranks in the 87th percentile out of all starting pitchers in the league currently.

Throwing 95.8 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Jesus Luzardo ranks in the 83rd percentile.

The Miami Marlins projected offense profiles as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate in terms of overall batting ability.

The Miami Marlins have been the 7th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress in future games

It is expected that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (Ron Kulpa) behind the plate today.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

J.T. Realmuto, the Phillies's expected catcher today, profiles as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Citizens Bank Park has the 9th-shallowest LF fences among all major league parks.

With 6 bats who bat from the other side in the opposing team's projected offense, Jesus Luzardo will be at a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's matchup.

Given that groundball pitchers struggle the most against flyball hitters, Jesus Luzardo (35.6% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in today's game with 4 FB hitters in Miami's projected lineup.

Jesus Luzardo is projected to have 17.9 Pitching Outs in today's game.

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 6.5 over: -117

Strikeouts 6.5 under: -117

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

When assessing his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Jesus Luzardo in the 93rd percentile among all starters in the game.

Throwing 95.8 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Jesus Luzardo ranks in the 83rd percentile.

The Miami Marlins have 3 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Connor Norby, Kyle Stowers, Griffin Conine).

It is expected that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (Ron Kulpa) behind the plate today.

Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

J.T. Realmuto, the Phillies's expected catcher today, profiles as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

With 6 bats who bat from the other side in the opposing team's projected offense, Jesus Luzardo will be at a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's matchup.

Given that groundball pitchers struggle the most against flyball hitters, Jesus Luzardo (35.6% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in today's game with 4 FB hitters in Miami's projected lineup.

Jesus Luzardo is projected to have 7 Strikeouts in today's game.