Francisco Alvarez MLB projections and prop bets for New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers on Sep 29, 2024
Francisco Alvarez Player Prop Bet: Total Bases
Total Bases Prop Bet Odds:
- Total Bases 0.5 over: -130
- Total Bases 0.5 under: 100
Trends Favoring The Over Total Bases Prop Bet
When estimating his home run skill, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The 6th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in American Family Field.
American Family Field has the 4th-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.
Francisco Alvarez has seen a big gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 96.4-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 88.7-mph EV.
Francisco Alvarez's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 31.1% to 38%.
Trends Favoring The Under Total Bases Prop Bet
Francisco Alvarez is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this matchup.
Batting from the same side that Colin Rea throws from, Francisco Alvarez will have a tough matchup today.
The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense grades out as the best among all the teams in action today.
Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Francisco Alvarez in today's game.
Francisco Alvarez's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased recently, decreasing from 38% on the season to 22.2% in the last 14 days.
Projection For Francisco Alvarez Total Bases Prop Bet
Francisco Alvarez is projected to have 0.8 Total Bases in this weeks game.
Francisco Alvarez Player Prop Bet: Home Runs
Home Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Home Runs 0.5 over: 750
- Home Runs 0.5 under: -1400
Trends Favoring The Over Home Runs Prop Bet
When estimating his home run skill, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The 6th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in American Family Field.
American Family Field has the 4th-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.
Francisco Alvarez has made notable improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 7% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the last two weeks' worth of games.
Francisco Alvarez has seen a big gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 96.4-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 88.7-mph EV.
Trends Favoring The Under Home Runs Prop Bet
Francisco Alvarez is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this matchup.
Batting from the same side that Colin Rea throws from, Francisco Alvarez will have a tough matchup today.
Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Francisco Alvarez in today's game.
Francisco Alvarez's launch angle this season (6.7°) is a significant dropoff from his 12.3° mark last season.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (16.2) suggests that Francisco Alvarez has experienced some positive variance this year with his 19.8 actual HR/600.
Projection For Francisco Alvarez Home Runs Prop Bet
Francisco Alvarez is projected to have 0.2 Home Runs in this weeks game.
Francisco Alvarez Player Prop Bet: Hits Runs and RBIs
Hits Runs and RBIs Prop Bet Odds:
- Hits Runs and RBIs 0.5 over: -180
- Hits Runs and RBIs 0.5 under: 130
Trends Favoring The Over Hits Runs and RBIs Prop Bet
When estimating his home run skill, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The 6th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in American Family Field.
American Family Field has the 4th-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.
Francisco Alvarez has seen a big gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 96.4-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 88.7-mph EV.
Francisco Alvarez's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 31.1% to 38%.
Trends Favoring The Under Hits Runs and RBIs Prop Bet
Francisco Alvarez is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this matchup.
Batting from the same side that Colin Rea throws from, Francisco Alvarez will have a tough matchup today.
The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense grades out as the best among all the teams in action today.
Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Francisco Alvarez in today's game.
Francisco Alvarez's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased recently, decreasing from 38% on the season to 22.2% in the last 14 days.
Projection For Francisco Alvarez Hits Runs and RBIs Prop Bet
Francisco Alvarez is projected to have 1.7 Hits Runs and RBIs in this weeks game.
Francisco Alvarez Player Prop Bet: Hits
Hits Prop Bet Odds:
- Hits 0.5 over: -135
- Hits 0.5 under: -100
Trends Favoring The Over Hits Prop Bet
The 6th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in American Family Field.
American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.
Francisco Alvarez has seen a big gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 96.4-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 88.7-mph EV.
Francisco Alvarez's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 31.1% to 38%.
Trends Favoring The Under Hits Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 25th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.
Francisco Alvarez is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this matchup.
Batting from the same side that Colin Rea throws from, Francisco Alvarez will have a tough matchup today.
The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense grades out as the best among all the teams in action today.
Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Francisco Alvarez in today's game.
Projection For Francisco Alvarez Hits Prop Bet
Francisco Alvarez is projected to have 0.8 Hits in this weeks game.
Francisco Alvarez Player Prop Bet: RBIs
RBIs Prop Bet Odds:
- RBIs 0.5 over: 240
- RBIs 0.5 under: -350
Trends Favoring The Over RBIs Prop Bet
When estimating his home run skill, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The 6th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in American Family Field.
American Family Field has the 4th-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.
Francisco Alvarez has seen a big gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 96.4-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 88.7-mph EV.
Francisco Alvarez's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 31.1% to 38%.
Trends Favoring The Under RBIs Prop Bet
Francisco Alvarez is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this matchup.
Batting from the same side that Colin Rea throws from, Francisco Alvarez will have a tough matchup today.
The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense grades out as the best among all the teams in action today.
Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Francisco Alvarez in today's game.
Francisco Alvarez's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased recently, decreasing from 38% on the season to 22.2% in the last 14 days.
Projection For Francisco Alvarez RBIs Prop Bet
Francisco Alvarez is projected to have 0.5 RBIs in this weeks game.
