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Erick Fedde

St. Louis Cardinals

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Pittsburgh Pirates

06:40 PM

Jun 30, 2025

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St. Louis Cardinals

  • Projections
  • Props

Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: -135

Earned Runs 2.5 under: 100

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

It may be wise to expect stronger performance for the Pittsburgh Pirates offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the unluckiest offense in the game this year.

PNC Park projects as the #3 stadium in the game for BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today.

Given that groundball pitchers are least effective against flyball hitters, Erick Fedde (34.7% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in today's game with 4 FB hitters in Pittsburgh's projected lineup.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

It is expected that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Dan Merzel) behind the plate today.

The league's 6th-highest average fence height can be found at PNC Park.

Erick Fedde will have the handedness advantage against 6 opposing bats today.

Erick Fedde is an extreme flyball pitcher (34.7% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be helped pitching in the #28 HR venue in the majors in this matchup.

Erick Fedde was firing on all cylinders in his last start and allowed 1 ER.

Erick Fedde is projected to have 3.1 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 3.5 over: -148

Strikeouts 3.5 under: 116

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Throwing 93 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Erick Fedde ranks in the 84th percentile.

It is expected that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Dan Merzel) behind the plate today.

Erick Fedde will have the handedness advantage against 6 opposing bats today.

Given the 1.56 deviation between Erick Fedde's 5.85 K/9 and his 7.41 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the league this year when it comes to strikeouts and should see better results the rest of the season.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 7th-worst ballpark in the majors for strikeouts.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today.

Given that groundball pitchers are least effective against flyball hitters, Erick Fedde (34.7% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in today's game with 4 FB hitters in Pittsburgh's projected lineup.

Playing on the road generally lowers pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Erick Fedde today.

Erick Fedde is projected to have 4.3 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Erick Fedde Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars Fanatics
Hits Allowed
ov 5.5 (-101)
un 5.5 (-135)
ov 5.5 (-110)
un 5.5 (-130)
-
ov 5.5 (-105)
un 5.5 (-135)
ov 5.5 (112)
un 5.5 (-154)
ov 5.5 (-105)
un 5.5 (-125)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (-116)
un 2.5 (-118)
ov 2.5 (-115)
un 2.5 (-120)
-
ov 2.5 (-118)
un 2.5 (-120)
ov 2.5 (-113)
un 2.5 (-121)
ov 2.5 (-115)
un 2.5 (-115)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 3.5 (-169)
un 3.5 (131)
ov 4.5 (130)
un 4.5 (-170)
ov 3.5 (-180)
un 3.5 (140)
ov 4.5 (130)
un 4.5 (-165)
ov 3.5 (-166)
un 3.5 (120)
ov 3.5 (-160)
un 3.5 (120)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (-140)
un 1.5 (100)
ov 1.5 (-140)
un 1.5 (100)
-
-
ov 1.5 (-142)
un 1.5 (104)
-

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