Clarke Schmidt projections, stats and prop bet odds for Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees on Sep 13, 2024

Clarke Schmidt Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs

Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:

  • Earned Runs 1.5 over: -155
  • Earned Runs 1.5 under: 125

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet

Yankee Stadium profiles as the #4 venue in the league for home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Yankee Stadium has the 6th-shortest average fence height among all major league parks.

The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the weakest among every team playing today.

Clarke Schmidt has been lucky this year, posting a 2.34 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 3.97 โ€” a 1.63 difference.

Boston's 92.8-mph exit velocity on flyballs grades them out as the #4 group of hitters in the league this year by this standard.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s assessment, Clarke Schmidt's overall pitching talent is in the 85th percentile among all SPs in the league right now.

The Boston Red Sox have been the 3rd-luckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress in the future

Austin Wells, the Yankees's expected catcher in today's matchup, projects as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Among all stadiums, Yankee Stadium's CF fences are the 5th-deepest.

The weather forecast predicts the 4th-best pitching weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Projection For Today's Clarke Schmidt Earned Runs Prop Bet

Clarke Schmidt is projected to have 2.3 Earned Runs in todays game.


Clarke Schmidt Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts

Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:

  • Strikeouts 6.5 over: 105
  • Strikeouts 6.5 under: -140

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet

When assessing his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Clarke Schmidt in the 81st percentile among all starters in baseball.

The Boston Red Sox have 5 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Triston Casas, Connor Wong, Tyler O'Neill, Wilyer Abreu, Trevor Story).

Austin Wells, the Yankees's expected catcher in today's matchup, projects as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Yankee Stadium's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.

The weather forecast predicts the 4th-best pitching weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Clarke Schmidt is projected to throw 84 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 15th-most of all pitchers on the slate today.

Clarke Schmidt wasn't on when it came to striking batters out in his last game started and notched 2 Ks.

Projection For Today's Clarke Schmidt Strikeouts Prop Bet

Clarke Schmidt is projected to have 5.8 Strikeouts in todays game.