Charlie Morton projections, stats and prop bet odds for Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves on Jun 28, 2024
Charlie Morton Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 5.5 over: -124
- Strikeouts 5.5 under: -108
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Charlie Morton in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his strikeout ability.
Charlie Morton has been given a longer leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing 6.0 more adjusted pitches-per-start than the average starter.
The Pittsburgh Pirates have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jack Suwinski, Oneil Cruz, Nick Gonzales).
The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers.
Charlie Morton will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats across the board.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°.
Charlie Morton's fastball velocity has decreased 1.1 mph this season (93.2 mph) below where it was last year (94.3 mph).
Projection For Today's Charlie Morton Strikeouts Prop Bet
Charlie Morton is projected to have 6.7 Strikeouts in todays game.
Charlie Morton Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Earned Runs 2.5 over: -125
- Earned Runs 2.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 6th-best park in the majors for batting average.
Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°.
Charlie Morton's fastball velocity has decreased 1.1 mph this season (93.2 mph) below where it was last year (94.3 mph).
The maximum exit velocity of any player on the Pittsburgh Pirates has been 121.5 mph this year, making them the #1 squad in MLB by this metric.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet
Among all stadiums, Truist Park's left field fences are the 3rd-deepest.
The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers.
Charlie Morton will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats across the board.
In his previous outing, Charlie Morton was rolling and gave up 1 ER.
Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are typically a pitcher's least effective pitch. Charlie Morton must realize this, because he has used his off-speed and breaking balls a lot this year: 62.3% of the time, grading out in the 87th percentile.
Projection For Today's Charlie Morton Earned Runs Prop Bet
Charlie Morton is projected to have 2.6 Earned Runs in todays game.
Charlie Morton Player Prop Bet: Pitching Outs
Pitching Outs Prop Bet Odds:
- Pitching Outs 16.5 over: -128
- Pitching Outs 16.5 under: -102
Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop Bet
Charlie Morton has been given a longer leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing 6.0 more adjusted pitches-per-start than the average starter.
Among all stadiums, Truist Park's left field fences are the 3rd-deepest.
The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers.
Charlie Morton will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats across the board.
In his previous outing, Charlie Morton was rolling and gave up 1 ER.
Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 6th-best park in the majors for batting average.
Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°.
Charlie Morton's fastball velocity has decreased 1.1 mph this season (93.2 mph) below where it was last year (94.3 mph).
Charlie Morton's 7th percentile BB% (10.6% this year) shows his weak control skills.
Projection For Today's Charlie Morton Pitching Outs Prop Bet
Charlie Morton is projected to have 16.1 Pitching Outs in todays game.
