Carlos Rodón Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 6.5 over: -140

Strikeouts 6.5 under: 110

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

When assessing his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Carlos Rodon in the 93rd percentile among all starters in the majors.

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Carlos Rodon is projected to throw 98 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 2nd-most of the day.

The Cleveland Guardians have 3 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jhonkensy Noel, Bo Naylor, Gabriel Arias).

Ron Kulpa grades out as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be umping today.

Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which often leads to less offense.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The #8 field in the game for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.

Carlos Rodon's fastball velocity has fallen 1.9 mph this year (93.7 mph) below where it was last year (95.6 mph).

Carlos Rodon’s fastball spin rate over his last 3 GS (2263 rpm) has been considerably worse than than his seasonal rate (2320 rpm).

Carlos Rodon has been very fortunate when it comes to his strikeouts this year, posting an 11.15 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 10.33 — a 0.81 K/9 gap.

Carlos Rodon is projected to have 6.4 Strikeouts in today's game.

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 18.5 over: 145

Pitching Outs 18.5 under: -210

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Carlos Rodon in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall pitching skills.

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Carlos Rodon is projected to throw 98 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 2nd-most of the day.

The Cleveland Guardians projected lineup ranks as the 2nd-worst on the slate today in terms of overall hitting skill.

Ron Kulpa grades out as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be umping today.

Yankee Stadium ranks as the #30 park in baseball for base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

In the majors, Yankee Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.

Carlos Rodon is an extreme flyball pitcher (40.4% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #6 HR venue among all stadiums today.

Out of every team on the slate today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees.

Carlos Rodon's fastball velocity has fallen 1.9 mph this year (93.7 mph) below where it was last year (95.6 mph).

Carlos Rodon’s fastball spin rate over his last 3 GS (2263 rpm) has been considerably worse than than his seasonal rate (2320 rpm).

Carlos Rodon is projected to have 17.5 Pitching Outs in today's game.

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 1.5 over: -170

Earned Runs 1.5 under: 130

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

In the majors, Yankee Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.

Carlos Rodon is an extreme flyball pitcher (40.4% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #6 HR venue among all stadiums today.

Out of every team on the slate today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees.

Carlos Rodon's fastball velocity has fallen 1.9 mph this year (93.7 mph) below where it was last year (95.6 mph).

Carlos Rodon’s fastball spin rate over his last 3 GS (2263 rpm) has been considerably worse than than his seasonal rate (2320 rpm).

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Carlos Rodon in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall pitching skills.

The Cleveland Guardians projected lineup ranks as the 2nd-worst on the slate today in terms of overall hitting skill.

Ron Kulpa grades out as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be umping today.

Yankee Stadium ranks as the #30 park in baseball for base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Among all major league stadiums, Yankee Stadium's centerfield dimensions are the 6th-deepest.

Carlos Rodon is projected to have 2.3 Earned Runs in today's game.