Chicago White Sox
07:40 PM
ATS Picks on May 9, 2025
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Earned Runs Prop Odds:
Earned Runs 2.5 over: -155
Earned Runs 2.5 under: 115
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Bryse Wilson in the 2nd percentile when estimating his overall pitching talent level.
The #7 park in the league for boosting home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.
Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest left field fences in Major League Baseball.
Bryse Wilson is an extreme flyball pitcher (34.9% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #7 HR venue in MLB in this matchup.
Given that groundball pitchers struggle the most against flyball hitters, Bryse Wilson (34.9% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 3 FB hitters in Miami's projected lineup.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop
The 2nd-weakest projected batting order of all teams today in terms of overall hitting skill is that of the the Miami Marlins.
It may be sensible to expect worse results for the Miami Marlins offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 7th-luckiest offense in the league this year.
Austin Jones grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be umping today.
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the most favorable for pitching on the schedule today.
Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and Bryse Wilson will hold that advantage today.
Bryse Wilson is projected to have 2.7 Earned Runs in today's game.
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Strikeouts Prop Odds:
Strikeouts 3.5 over: 110
Strikeouts 3.5 under: -150
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop
The Miami Marlins have 3 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Kyle Stowers, Matt Mervis, Connor Norby).
Austin Jones grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be umping today.
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the most favorable for pitching on the schedule today.
Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and Bryse Wilson will hold that advantage today.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop
As it relates to his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Bryse Wilson in the 6th percentile among all starters in baseball.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryse Wilson to throw 84 pitches in this game (3rd-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
The #6 field in baseball for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.
Given that groundball pitchers struggle the most against flyball hitters, Bryse Wilson (34.9% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 3 FB hitters in Miami's projected lineup.
In his last start, Bryse Wilson didn't have his best stuff when it came to striking batters out and only managed to post 2 Ks.
Bryse Wilson is projected to have 3.7 Strikeouts in today's game.
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Consensus | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hits Allowed | ov 5.5 (-141) | ov 5.5 (-150) | - | ov 5.5 (-145) | ov 5.5 (-137) |
Total Earned Runs Allowed | ov 2.5 (-146) | ov 2.5 (-150) | - | ov 2.5 (-145) | ov 2.5 (-148) |
Total Pitching Strikeouts | ov 3.5 (-103) | ov 3.5 (100) | ov 3.5 (-112) | ov 3.5 (100) | ov 3.5 (-103) |
Walks Allowed | ov 1.5 (-137) | ov 1.5 (-145) | - | - | ov 1.5 (-129) |
