Bryce Miller Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: 100

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: -132

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

Generating 17.3 outs per start since the start of last season on average, Bryce Miller falls in the 83rd percentile.

Projected catcher Cal Raleigh profiles as an elite pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Bryce Miller's curveball rate has jumped by 12.9% from last season to this one (4.4% to 17.3%) .

Bryce Miller's 2476-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 91st percentile among all starters.

Cincinnati Reds batters jointly rank near the bottom of baseball since the start of last season ( worst) when it comes to their 87.7-mph average exit velocity.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The Cincinnati Reds have been the 5th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in future games

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #1 field in baseball for home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Great American Ball Park has the 7th-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums.

Bryce Miller is an extreme flyball pitcher (38.1% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #1 HR venue in Major League Baseball in today's game.

The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams today.

Bryce Miller is projected to have 16.9 Pitching Outs in today's game.

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 110

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -150

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The Cincinnati Reds have been the 5th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in future games

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #1 field in baseball for home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Great American Ball Park has the 7th-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums.

Bryce Miller is an extreme flyball pitcher (38.1% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #1 HR venue in Major League Baseball in today's game.

The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams today.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

Projected catcher Cal Raleigh profiles as an elite pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Bryce Miller's curveball rate has jumped by 12.9% from last season to this one (4.4% to 17.3%) .

Bryce Miller's 2476-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 91st percentile among all starters.

Cincinnati Reds batters jointly rank near the bottom of baseball since the start of last season ( worst) when it comes to their 87.7-mph average exit velocity.

Bryce Miller is projected to have 2.8 Earned Runs in today's game.

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 5.5 over: -110

Strikeouts 5.5 under: -120

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Projected catcher Cal Raleigh profiles as an elite pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Low humidity has a small but significant connection with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-least humidity on the slate today at 34%.

Bryce Miller's curveball rate has jumped by 12.9% from last season to this one (4.4% to 17.3%) .

Bryce Miller's 2476-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 91st percentile among all starters.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats.

Bryce Miller will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.

Bryce Miller's fastball velocity has decreased 1.5 mph this year (93.6 mph) below where it was last season (95.1 mph).

Given the 0.54 deviation between Bryce Miller's 8.43 K/9 and his 7.89 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the luckiest pitchers in Major League Baseball since the start of last season in terms of strikeouts and figures to see worse results the rest of the season.

Bryce Miller is projected to have 5 Strikeouts in today's game.