Allan Winans projections, stats and prop bet odds for Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves on Jul 24, 2024
Allan Winans Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 4.5 over: -109
- Strikeouts 4.5 under: -125
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
The Cincinnati Reds have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Elly De La Cruz, Rece Hinds, Will Benson).
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Sean Murphy (the Braves's expected catcher today) projects as a good pitch framer.
Allan Winans will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his metrics across the board.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Allan Winans in the 21st percentile when estimating his strikeout ability.
Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.
High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 4th-highest humidity on the slate at 76%.
Allan Winans didn't have his best stuff when it came to striking hitters out in his previous outing and compiled 1 Ks.
Out of all starting pitchers, Allan Winans's fastball velocity of 89.1 mph grades out in the 6th percentile since the start of last season.
Projection For Today's Allan Winans Strikeouts Prop Bet
Allan Winans is projected to have 5 Strikeouts in todays game.
Allan Winans Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Earned Runs 2.5 over: -105
- Earned Runs 2.5 under: -130
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet
The #6 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.
Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.
High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 4th-highest humidity on the slate at 76%.
The Atlanta Braves outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team on the slate today.
Allan Winans conceded a monstrous 6 earned runs in his last start.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet
The 4th-worst projected batting order on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Sean Murphy (the Braves's expected catcher today) projects as a good pitch framer.
Truist Park has the 3rd-deepest left field fences in the league.
Allan Winans will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his metrics across the board.
Considering the 1.65 difference between Allan Winans's 6.03 ERA and his 4.38 FIP, it's safe to say he's been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the league since the start of last season and should positively regress going forward.
Projection For Today's Allan Winans Earned Runs Prop Bet
Allan Winans is projected to have 2.6 Earned Runs in todays game.
