Miami Marlins
06:40 PM
ATS Picks on June 18, 2025
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Earned Runs Prop Odds:
Earned Runs 2.5 over: 105
Earned Runs 2.5 under: -140
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Adam Mazur in the 16th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching abilities.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for walks.
Among all starters, Adam Mazur's fastball spin rate of 2109 rpm is in the 17th percentile since the start of last season.
With a 6.26 FIP since the start of last season (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that concentrates on the things a pitcher can most influence), Adam Mazur places him the 9th percentile.
Grading out in the 6th percentile, Adam Mazur has recorded a 1 K/BB rate since the start of last season.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop
It is scheduled that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Austin Jones) in charge of the strike zone in this game.
The 4th-deepest RF fences among all parks are found in LoanDepot Park.
LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.
The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this game -5° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching.
Adam Mazur is an extreme flyball pitcher (34.4% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be helped pitching in the #25 HR venue among all stadiums in this game.
Adam Mazur is projected to have 2.7 Earned Runs in today's game.
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Strikeouts Prop Odds:
Strikeouts 3.5 over: -156
Strikeouts 3.5 under: 124
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop
It is scheduled that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Austin Jones) in charge of the strike zone in this game.
LoanDepot Park profiles as the #10 stadium in the majors for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.
The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this game -5° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching.
Adam Mazur will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats across the board.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop
As it relates to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Adam Mazur in the 8th percentile among all starting pitchers in the game.
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Adam Mazur is projected to throw 80 pitches today by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 6th-least on the slate.
Among all starters, Adam Mazur's fastball spin rate of 2109 rpm is in the 17th percentile since the start of last season.
Ranking in the 10th percentile, Adam Mazur posted a 7% Swinging Strike percentage since the start of last season.
Ranking in the 10th percentile, Adam Mazur has posted a 13.6% K% since the start of last season.
Adam Mazur is projected to have 3.7 Strikeouts in today's game.
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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:
Pitching Outs 14.5 over: -156
Pitching Outs 14.5 under: 118
Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop
It is scheduled that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Austin Jones) in charge of the strike zone in this game.
The 4th-deepest RF fences among all parks are found in LoanDepot Park.
LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.
The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this game -5° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching.
Adam Mazur is an extreme flyball pitcher (34.4% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be helped pitching in the #25 HR venue among all stadiums in this game.
Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Adam Mazur in the 16th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching abilities.
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Adam Mazur is projected to throw 80 pitches today by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 6th-least on the slate.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for walks.
Among all starters, Adam Mazur's fastball spin rate of 2109 rpm is in the 17th percentile since the start of last season.
With a 6.26 FIP since the start of last season (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that concentrates on the things a pitcher can most influence), Adam Mazur places him the 9th percentile.
Adam Mazur is projected to have 14.5 Pitching Outs in today's game.
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Consensus | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hits Allowed | ov 4.5 (-168) | ov 4.5 (-155) | - | ov 4.5 (-160) | ov 4.5 (-174) | - |
Total Earned Runs Allowed | ov 2.5 (103) | ov 2.5 (105) | - | ov 2.5 (100) | ov 2.5 (100) | - |
Total Pitching Strikeouts | ov 3.5 (-138) | ov 3.5 (-140) | ov 3.5 (-138) | ov 3.5 (-140) | ov 3.5 (-142) | ov 3.5 (-140) |
Walks Allowed | ov 1.5 (101) | ov 1.5 (-105) | - | - | ov 1.5 (108) | - |
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