MLB Player Prop Projections & Best Bets

A Closer Look at MLB Prop Bets

Major League Baseball is an interesting league to bet on, as the sheer unpredictability of it all can make it incredibly fun to take in. And when you add MLB prop bets into the mix, the fun is often ramped up to another level.

Each day throughout the MLB season, our MLB betting experts make their prop projections for individual players. These projections can then be compared to the lines set by sportsbooks each day to place bets in many major statistical categories. Read on for a look at which prop categories we will have projections for and what bettors should make sure to consider before placing their bets in MLB player prop markets each day.

Popular MLB Prop Bets

As is the case in any sport, there are several prop categories in baseball that are more popular than the rest. These tend to be the statistical categories that we focus on the most heavily in our MLB prop predictions, as they are the props that bettors want our experts to cover the most. Below are the prop types that you can expect projections on throughout the MLB season.

Strikeout Props

From a pitching perspective, there is no category more in-demand than strikeouts when looking at player props. Strikeout props let bettors wager on whether they think a pitcher will go over or under a strikeout total set by sportsbooks before each outing. This prop requires bettors to understand several in-depth stats, such as how often pitchers can induce swings and misses, how often hitters on the opposing team make contact, and how accurate a pitcher is with their pitches.

Home Run Props

On the flip side, home run props may be the most popular MLB prop category for batters each night. The odds for home run props tend to be more attractive than simple over/under bets across the diamond, as home runs are harder to come by than hits or strikeouts. But these props need to be approached carefully, as the math typically does not check out on betting home runs due to the high theoretical hold sportsbooks place on this market.

Hits Props

For those who would rather focus on general hitting success instead of the all-or-nothing approach of home run props, betting on batters to collect hits is also an option. With this market, home runs count toward a player’s total number of hits. But it is not required for a batter to hit a home run in order for a hit to be logged. This means players with less power are also in play to cash tickets, giving bettors more options to choose from.

Other Popular MLB Props

There are a ton of other MLB prop markets available for action each day and night on the diamond. We may have projections available in the following markets, which are growing in popularity as prop betting continues to grow in the US sports betting landscape.

• Total Bases
• RBI
• Runs Scored
• Stolen Bases
• Singles/Doubles/Triples
• Walks
• Outs Recorded
• Wins Recorded
• Hits Allowed
• Walks Allowed
• Earned Runs Allowed

Team Props

Along with the individual player props listed above, sportsbooks also offer team-focused props ahead of each MLB game. While our MLB prop projections focus on player props, those projections and our MLB betting picks each day can be used to come up with advantageous plays in team prop markets such as team totals.

MLB Prop Betting Strategies

In sports betting, having a strategy before you bet is essential to success, just as it is when making an other decision with your money involved. Fortunately, we are here to remind you of some of the strategies you should be using when wagering on MLB props throughout the season. The below recommendations are especially important for success in MLB prop markets.

Pitching Matchups

The first thing that every bettor should do when betting into MLB prop markets is to do some research into how pitchers and hitters stack up against one another. Of course, having a good pitcher on the mound benefits that pitcher’s team and makes things tougher on the opposing hitters. But some good pitchers could struggle against specific batters, while some bad pitchers could have unexpected advantages against those batters. Identifying those strengths and weaknesses could lead to some edges one may not have expected to find.

Lineup Breakdowns

Along with research on how pitchers and hitters perform against each other, analyzing each lineup is incredibly important before making any MLB prop bets. Seeing who is hitting before and after each player in a lineup can shed light on which batters are the most likely to get pitches to hit and who might get pitched around to set up easier matchups for a pitcher to exploit. Even looking at which side of the plate each batter hits from can help determine where the advantages are in each batting order.

Ballpark Factors

Unique to baseball is the role that different parks play in player prop markets. Some ballparks are more hitter-friendly than others, while some give pitchers the edge in each matchup. Unlike basketball, football, and hockey, where the playing dimensions are the same for all teams, unique park dimensions in baseball have to be considered along with the weather going into each game.

Using Stats to Win MLB Props

Statistical analysis is essential to success when betting on MLB props, no matter which market you are betting into. Fortunately, our team of MLB betting experts is here to do most of the heavy lifting for you when it comes to MLB prop betting. Keep checking back on a daily basis for our latest and greatest prop projections, which use several key statistical indicators to help you make the smartest possible picks.