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New York Yankees Betting Preview
One of the most disappointing teams in Major League Baseball in 2023 was the New York Yankees. They missed the playoffs last season, finishing just above the .500 mark. A prolonged injury absence for Aaron Judge did not make things easier, but the team around Judge did not do enough to live up to the high expectations for the Yankees coming into the 2023 season.
This year, expectations are high for the Yankees once again. After adding another elite-level bat in the offseason, New York hopes to have an insurance policy for Judge should he go down again this year. And if Judge can stay healthy, the lineup of the Yankees could end up being one of the best in all of baseball, while their starting rotation is led by the reigning AL Cy Young winner.
2024 Over/Under Season Win Total Odds
| Sportsbook | Over/Under Wins |
|---|---|
| DraftKings | 93.5 |
| BetMGM | 93.5 |
New York Yankees Futures Betting Odds
BAL 
Standings Data
| 2023 | |
|---|---|
| Actual Record | 82-80 |
| Run Differential | -25 |
| Pythagorean W/L | 78-84 |
| BaseRuns Record | 78-84 |
| BaseRuns Run Differential | +4 |
New York Yankees Betting Picks, Predictions & News
Offseason Transactions
Key Additions: Juan Soto, Alex Verdugo, Marcus Stroman
Key Departures: Luis Severino, Michael King, Kyle Higashioka, Isiah Kiner-Falefa
New York made one of the biggest moves of the offseason by bringing in Juan Soto from the San Diego Padres. They also did a great job by adding Alex Verdugo and Marcus Stroman, a year after Stroman was one of the top NL Cy Young contenders before his season was derailed by injuries. The Yankees are going to be demonstrably better both at the plate and on the mound this season thanks to those moves, even if they did have to offload some key players like Luis Severino and IKF.
Offensive Stats
| 2023 (Rank) | 2022 | |
|---|---|---|
| Batting Average (BA) | .227 (29th) | .241 (T-15th) |
| On-Base Percentage (OBP) | .307 (27th) | .325 (T-4th) |
| Slugging Percentage (SLG) | .397 (22nd) | .426 (4th) |
| Weighted On-Base Avg (wOBA) | .304 (T-24th) | .327 (4th) |
| Weighted Runs Created Plus (wRC+) | 94 (T-19th) | 116 (3rd) |
| Batting Avg on Balls In Play (BABIP) | .266 (30th) | .276 (27th) |
| Strikeout Percentage (K%) | 23.9% (T-20th) | 22.5% (16th) |
| Walk Percentage (BB%) | 9.3% (6th) | 10.0% (1st) |
Last year’s Yankees took a nosedive offensively from where they were the year before the 2023 season. Losing Judge for a long stretch of the year certainly didn’t help them at the plate, but you would have expected the other bats in their lineup to contribute more to make up for his absence. Adding Soto should help them bounce back offensively, but the health of Judge and Giancarlo Stanton is anything but a given going into the 2024 season.
Pitching Stats
| 2023 (Rank) | 2022 | |
|---|---|---|
| Earned Run Average (ERA) | 3.97 (T-9th) | 3.30 (3rd) |
| Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) | 4.25 (16th) | 3.56 (6th) |
| Adj. Fielding Independent Pitching (xFIP) | 4.22 (14th) | 3.64 (5th) |
| Strikeout Percentage (K%) | 23.7% (11th) | 24.6% (6th) |
| Walk Percentage (BB%) | 8.4% (T-13th) | 7.5% (T-22nd) |
| Left On Base Percentage (LOB%) | 73.3% (9th) | 76.3% (3rd) |
New York’s American League representatives were not bad from a pitching perspective in 2023. But they did regress somewhat around Gerrit Cole, who was excellent last year for the team in pinstripes. Cole will have to be great again this year, though the Yankees will hope that the addition of Stroman will give them some more consistency in their rotation, even if his health is also a constant question mark.
Positives & Negatives
There might not be a bigger positive in all of baseball this season than the potential of the Yankees lineup. The trio of Judge, Stanton, and Soto hitting in the same order could be a nightmare for opposing pitching. If that trio can stay healthy at the same time throughout this season, the Yankees could put up some historic power hitting numbers.
But the biggest negative for this team is their health and the lack of consistency with which they have experienced it. Judge, Stanton, and Stroman are all key players who have dealt with injury concerns over the last few seasons. While potential is great, players have to be on the field to produce, and there is no guarantee that the Yankees will enjoy that in 2024.
New York Yankees Win Total Pick & Prediction
New York Yankees Pick & Prediction: Under 93.5 Wins
The Yankees should be better than they were in 2023, but they are still going to fall short of the 94-win mark required to go over their season win total. We don’t trust this team to stay healthy for enough of the season to fully impose their will on other teams. Expect Cole and Judge to be great this season, but for the Yankees to finish with around 90 wins as the pressure on the organization will continue to build.
