New York Mets

New York Mets

Oct 1, 2024

Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee Brewers
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  • Consensus
  • Stats
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Mets vs Brewers Game 1 Prediction, Preview, & Odds – 10/1/2024

The New York Mets and Milwaukee Brewers will square off in Game 1 of their National League Wild Card series on Tuesday in Wisconsin. The Mets did what they needed to do in Atlanta on Monday to clinch a playoff spot, while the Brewers are hoping that they can continue rolling after a very strong regular season. Continue reading for our breakdown of Mets vs Brewers Game 1 and our best bet for the game.

Can Mets Deliver On Tight Turnaround?

Yesterday, the New York Mets came back from multiple late deficits to beat the Atlanta Braves in Game 1 of their doubleheader. They lost the second game, but a win in Game 1 was all they needed to earn a spot in the postseason. Today, the Mets will look to set the tone in their series against the Milwaukee Brewers with Luis Severino on the mound, who was pushed back to today’s game after the Mets realized they didn’t need him to pitch in Game 2 against the Braves on Monday.

Severino enters Mets vs Brewers Game 1 with a record of 11-7 and an ERA of 3.91. Severino took a loss against the Brewers in his first start of the season, giving up six runs in five innings of work. He will need to be better than that if he is going to help the Mets to get a win to get off to a good start in this best-of-three Wild Card series.

Brewers Hoping to Deliver at Home

The Milwaukee Brewers won the NL Central with a record of 93-69, posting the second-best run differential in the National League for the season. Today, the Brewers will look to protect their home field against the Mets to open up their postseason. With the Brewers entering today’s action with a 47-34 record at home on the year, they will expect to take care of business in front of their home crowd.

On the hill for the Brewers in this contest will be Freddy Peralta, who is 11-9 with a 3.68 ERA. Peralta has a win over the Mets under his belt this year, picking one up in late March after throwing six innings and allowing one run against them. Not letting the Mets pick up any momentum early in this game will be huge after the way New York finished Game 1 against the Braves yesterday.

Mets vs Brewers Game 1 Best Bet

Our best bet for Mets vs Brewers Game 1 is for the Brewers to pick up a win at home, something they have done consistently all season long. While the Mets should be commended for making it to the postseason, the Brew Crew are more reliable on the mound and should be able to come away with a win in this one.

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Consensus

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+125
24% NYM
-147
76% MIL

Total Pick Consensus

7.5/-118
29% UN
7.5/-102
71% OV

Spread Pick Consensus

+1.5/-180
19% NYM
-1.5/+150
81% MIL

Stats

  • Team Stats
  • Team Records
  • Pitchers
  • Recent Starts
NYM
Team Stats
MIL
4.55
ERA
4.04
.248
Batting Avg Against
.232
1.38
WHIP
1.22
.297
BABIP
.275
9.9%
BB%
8.2%
22.5%
K%
23.0%
72.3%
LOB%
73.6%
.236
Batting Avg
.233
.399
SLG
.377
.715
OPS
.689
.317
OBP
.312
NYM
Team Records
MIL
46-35
Home
47-34
43-38
Road
46-35
65-51
vRHP
69-45
24-22
vLHP
24-24
47-46
vs>.500
52-41
42-27
vs<.500
41-28
5-5
Last10
5-5
11-9
Last20
11-9
20-10
Last30
17-13
L. Severino
F. Peralta
N/A
Innings
128.0
N/A
GS
23
N/A
W-L
9-8
N/A
ERA
4.08
N/A
K/9
11.04
N/A
BB/9
3.38
N/A
HR/9
1.34
N/A
LOB%
71.5%
N/A
HR/FB%
14.5%
N/A
FIP
4.01
N/A
xFIP
3.76

L. Severino

Date
Opp
W/L
IP
H
R
ER
SO
BB
ST-PC
5/1 KC
Lynch N/A
W6-4 N/A
5
7
4
3
4
1
57-93
4/26 BAL
Lyles N/A
W12-8 N/A
6
3
4
4
5
2
50-77
4/20 DET
Rodriguez N/A
W5-3 N/A
5
7
1
1
3
2
60-88
4/14 TOR
Gausman N/A
W3-0 N/A
5
2
0
0
6
2
56-83
4/9 BOS
Pivetta N/A
W4-2 N/A
3
5
2
2
5
0
41-65

F. Peralta

Date
Opp
W/L
IP
H
R
ER
SO
BB
ST-PC
5/4 CIN
rrez N/A
W18-4 N/A
5
5
3
3
7
2
63-98
4/28 PIT
Quintana N/A
W3-2 N/A
6
3
0
0
7
0
59-92
4/22 PHI
Suarez N/A
L2-4 N/A
5
3
1
1
6
2
54-89
4/15 STL
Mikolas N/A
L1-10 N/A
3
7
6
6
4
2
49-77
4/10 CHC
Stroman N/A
W5-4 N/A
4
3
3
3
6
4
46-88

Odds

  • MoneyLine
  • RunLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
NYM MIL
NYM MIL
Consensus
+119
-140
+125
-147
+114
-135
+124
-148
+116
-136
+124
-146
+118
-139
+125
-148
+118
-140
+122
-145
+120
-140
+120
-145
Open
Current
Book
NYM MIL
NYM MIL
Consensus
+1.5 (-177)
-1.5 (+158)
+1.5 (-177)
-1.5 (+147)
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+164)
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-176)
-1.5 (+158)
+1.5 (-176)
-1.5 (+146)
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+155)
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+145)
+1.5 (-178)
-1.5 (+158)
+1.5 (-178)
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-185)
-1.5 (+165)
+1.5 (-185)
-1.5 (+150)
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
7.5 (-105)
7.5 (-115)
7.5 (-105)
7.5 (-116)
7.5 (-105)
7.5 (-115)
7.5 (-102)
7.5 (-118)
7.5 (-105)
7.5 (-115)
7.5 (-102)
7.5 (-120)
7.5 (-106)
7.5 (-114)
7.5 (-107)
7.5 (-113)
7.5 (-105)
7.5 (-115)
7.5 (+100)
7.5 (-120)
7.5 (-105)
7.5 (-115)
7.5 (-105)
7.5 (-115)