New York Mets

New York Mets

Oct 6, 2024

Philadelphia Phillies

Philadelphia Phillies
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
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Mets vs Phillies NLDS Game 2 Best Bet – 10/6/2024

  • Date: October 6, 2024
  • Venue: Citizens Bank Park
  • Starting Pitchers:
    • Luis Severino - Mets
    • Cristopher Sanchez - Phillies

Mets vs Phillies Game 2 Betting Odds

Moneyline: Mets 135, Phillies -155
Runline: Mets 1.5 -160, Phillies -1.5 135
Over/Under Total: 8 -110

New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Game 2 Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
New York Mets - 41% New York Mets - 40.52%
Philadelphia Phillies - 59% Philadelphia Phillies - 59.48%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Game 2 Betting Preview

As the Philadelphia Phillies host the New York Mets on October 6, 2024, both teams are eager to make their mark in this crucial National League Division Series matchup at Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies are favored in this contest, boasting a moneyline of -150, indicating an implied win probability of 58%. Their strong offensive showing this season has them ranked 5th in MLB for team batting average and 7th in home runs, showcasing a balanced mix of consistent hitting and power.

The Mets, on the other hand, enter as the underdogs with a moneyline of +130, reflecting a 42% implied win probability. While they rank 12th in batting average, their power is notable, ranking 6th in home runs. This power could play a pivotal role as they aim to challenge the Phillies' favorable odds.

In yesterday's matchup, the Mets emerged victorious, setting the stage for today's game as the second in the series. The Mets will rely on Francisco Lindor, their standout hitter over the past week, who has posted an impressive .286 batting average and a 1.067 OPS, along with 2 home runs and 2 stolen bases in the last six games. His recent performance highlights his ability to contribute both at the plate and on the base paths.

With the Phillies projected to score 4.35 runs and the Mets at 3.65, according to the betting odds, this game could hinge on the ability of each team's pitching staff to contain the opponent's offensive threats. The Phillies' higher implied team total suggests they have the upper hand, but the Mets' potential for power could make this a closely contested game. As both teams vie for postseason positioning, expect a competitive atmosphere in Philadelphia.

New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Game 2 Prediction

Final Score: New York Mets 3.89 vs Philadelphia Phillies 4.22

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free MLB picks here.

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Consensus

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+125
21% NYM
-146
79% PHI

Total Pick Consensus

8.5/-112
23% UN
8.5/-108
77% OV

Spread Pick Consensus

+1.5/-170
15% NYM
-1.5/+142
85% PHI

Stats

  • Team Stats
  • Team Records
  • Pitchers
  • Recent Starts
NYM
Team Stats
PHI
4.55
ERA
3.95
.248
Batting Avg Against
.238
1.38
WHIP
1.24
.297
BABIP
.290
9.9%
BB%
7.8%
22.5%
K%
23.8%
72.3%
LOB%
72.2%
.236
Batting Avg
.255
.399
SLG
.419
.715
OPS
.742
.317
OBP
.323
NYM
Team Records
PHI
46-35
Home
54-27
43-38
Road
41-40
65-51
vRHP
61-43
24-22
vLHP
34-24
47-46
vs>.500
49-41
42-27
vs<.500
46-26
5-5
Last10
4-6
11-9
Last20
10-10
20-10
Last30
17-13
L. Severino
C. Sánchez
N/A
Innings
N/A
N/A
GS
N/A
N/A
W-L
N/A
N/A
ERA
N/A
N/A
K/9
N/A
N/A
BB/9
N/A
N/A
HR/9
N/A
N/A
LOB%
N/A
N/A
HR/FB%
N/A
N/A
FIP
N/A
N/A
xFIP
N/A

L. Severino

Date
Opp
W/L
IP
H
R
ER
SO
BB
ST-PC
5/1 KC
Lynch N/A
W6-4 N/A
5
7
4
3
4
1
57-93
4/26 BAL
Lyles N/A
W12-8 N/A
6
3
4
4
5
2
50-77
4/20 DET
Rodriguez N/A
W5-3 N/A
5
7
1
1
3
2
60-88
4/14 TOR
Gausman N/A
W3-0 N/A
5
2
0
0
6
2
56-83
4/9 BOS
Pivetta N/A
W4-2 N/A
3
5
2
2
5
0
41-65

C. Sánchez

Date
Opp
W/L
IP
H
R
ER
SO
BB
ST-PC

Odds

  • MoneyLine
  • RunLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
NYM PHI
NYM PHI
Consensus
+130
-155
+125
-146
+130
-155
+130
-155
+124
-146
+122
-144
+130
-152
+128
-150
+130
-155
+122
-145
+125
-150
+120
-145
Open
Current
Book
NYM PHI
NYM PHI
Consensus
+1.5 (-168)
-1.5 (+134)
+1.5 (-168)
-1.5 (+140)
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+130)
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-170)
-1.5 (+146)
+1.5 (-170)
-1.5 (+140)
+1.5 (-175)
-1.5 (+140)
+1.5 (-175)
-1.5 (+140)
+1.5 (-170)
-1.5 (+135)
+1.5 (-170)
-1.5 (+143)
+1.5 (-165)
-1.5 (+145)
+1.5 (-165)
-1.5 (+140)
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
8.0 (-108)
8.0 (-113)
8.5 (-110)
8.5 (-111)
7.5 (-115)
7.5 (-105)
8.5 (-108)
8.5 (-112)
8.0 (-110)
8.0 (-110)
8.5 (-106)
8.5 (-114)
7.5 (-118)
7.5 (-104)
8.5 (-113)
8.5 (-107)
7.5 (-115)
7.5 (-105)
8.5 (-110)
8.5 (-110)
7.5 (-120)
7.5 (+100)
8.5 (-110)
8.5 (-110)