New York Mets at Chicago Cubs Pick For 6/23/2024

New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs Details

• Date: June 23, 2024
• Venue: Wrigley Field
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Luis Severino - Mets
  • Javier Assad - Cubs

Betting Odds

New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

As the Chicago Cubs (37-40) gear up to face the New York Mets (36-39) on June 23, 2024, at Wrigley Field, both teams find themselves in a National League matchup of below-average records. This game, the third in their series, promises to be an intriguing showdown, especially after Chicago’s commanding 8-1 victory over New York on June 22, which saw the Cubs outperform their implied win probability of 47% as underdogs (+105).

Chicago’s Javier Assad, a right-handed pitcher ranked 127th in THE BAT X's pitcher Power Rankings, will take the mound. He’s coming off a solid start on June 17, where he allowed just 1 earned run over 5 innings, striking out 7. Despite this promising performance, Assad still faces challenges, matched up against a Mets offense that ranks 9th in home runs and 11th in batting average.

On the other side, Luis Severino, who is regarded higher in the pitching hierarchy, will pitch for New York. He’ll hope to contain a Cubs lineup that struggles with a low batting average, ranking 24th, but shows promise in stolen bases (8th).

Chicago's offense remains inconsistent, though Christopher Morel continues to be a bright spot with 14 home runs and 43 RBIs over 76 games. Meanwhile, Ian Happ has been torching opposing pitchers recently, posting a .381 batting average and a 1.197 OPS over the past week.

For the Mets, Francisco Lindor and Francisco Alvarez provide offensive firepower. Lindor leads the team with 12 home runs and 12 stolen bases, while Alvarez has been on fire in the last week, hitting .526 with a 1.538 OPS.

With both teams sporting identical moneylines (-110) suggesting an evenly matched encounter, THE BAT X projects the Cubs with a slight edge, giving them a 53% win probability. Expect a close, competitive game as these National League rivals look to edge out a series victory.

New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs Prediction

Final Score: New York Mets 4.98 vs Chicago Cubs 5

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