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Minnesota Twins at Chicago White Sox Game 1 Pick & Prediction – 7/10/2024
Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox Game 1 Details
- Date: July 10, 2024
- Venue: Guaranteed Rate Field
- Starting Pitchers:
- Bailey Ober - Twins
- Erick Fedde - White Sox
Twins vs White Sox Game 1 Betting Odds
| Moneyline: | Twins -162, White Sox +136 |
| Runline: | Twins -1.5 (+102), White Sox +1.5 (-122) |
| Over/Under Total: | 8 |
Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox Game 1 Betting Preview
The Chicago White Sox and Minnesota Twins are set to square off on July 10, 2024, in the first game of a double-header at Guaranteed Rate Field. The Twins, currently 52-39 and enjoying a good season, are leading the American League Central and come into this matchup as favorites. The White Sox, struggling with a 26-67 record, have had a rough season and are looking for a spark.
Chicago will send Erick Fedde to the mound. Fedde has been solid this year, holding a 6-3 record with a stellar 3.13 ERA over 18 starts. However, his 3.78 xFIP suggests that he's been somewhat fortunate and may regress. On the other side, Bailey Ober will start for Minnesota. With an 8-4 record and a 4.12 ERA, Ober has pitched better than his stats indicate, as his 3.55 SIERA suggests he's been unlucky.
The White Sox offense has been one of the weakest in MLB, ranking 29th in team batting average and home runs. Conversely, the Twins boast one of the league's top offenses, ranking 4th in both team batting average and overall performance. This stark contrast in offensive firepower gives Minnesota a significant edge.
Fedde projects to pitch 5.8 innings, allowing 2.6 earned runs, while Ober is expected to match those innings with a slightly better projection of 2.4 earned runs allowed. Both pitchers are projected to strike out 5.6 batters on average.
Recent performances also favor the Twins. Jose Miranda has been on fire, hitting .714 with a 1.834 OPS over the last week. The White Sox's Nicky Lopez, while solid, has a .313 average and a 1.013 OPS in the same period.
Given the disparity in team performance and the Twins' offensive prowess, Minnesota is the favorite with a -160 moneyline, translating to an implied win probability of 60%. For bettors, the Twins' high implied team total of 4.42 runs further underscores their advantage heading into this matchup.
Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox Game 1 Prediction
Final Score: Minnesota Twins 4.83 vs Chicago White Sox 4.25
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B. Ober
E. Fedde
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Minnesota Twins
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