Milwaukee Brewers vs San Francisco Giants Prediction – 4/24/2025

Milwaukee Brewers vs San Francisco Giants Betting Preview

As the San Francisco Giants prepare to host the Milwaukee Brewers on April 24, 2025, both teams find themselves in contrasting positions in the standings. The Giants boast a record of 16-9 and are enjoying a strong season, while the Brewers sit at 13-12, indicating an above-average performance but still looking to gain ground. In their previous matchup, the Giants continued their upward trend with a decisive victory.

On the mound, the Giants project to start Landen Roupp, who has shown potential this season. Roupp carries a Win/Loss record of 2-1 and an ERA of 4.09, which is above average, but his 2.81 xFIP suggests he has been a bit unlucky and could improve as the season progresses. He is expected to pitch around 5.2 innings, allowing an average of 2.0 earned runs and striking out 5.2 batters. However, he has struggled with hits and walks, projecting to allow 4.4 hits and 2.0 walks, which could be a concern against a competitive lineup.

Opposing him will be Tobias Myers, who hasn’t fared as well. Ranked among the worst pitchers in MLB, Myers projects to pitch 5.1 innings while allowing 2.5 earned runs and striking out only 4.1 batters on average. His performance thus far raises questions about his ability to keep the Brewers competitive in this matchup.

Offensively, the Giants rank as the 14th best offense while the Brewers sit slightly behind at 18th. The Giants have found success with power, ranking 12th in homers, which could be pivotal in a low Game Total of 7.5 runs. With the Giants' potent bullpen ranked 3rd overall, they hold a strong advantage, especially against a Brewers offense that could struggle against quality pitching.

Quick Takes Milwaukee Brewers:

The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense projects as the strongest out of all the teams in action today.

• Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.

Typically, batters like Christian Yelich who hit a lot of groundballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Landen Roupp.

• This mostly has to do with the way the hitter's swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.

Milwaukee Brewers bats collectively rank near the cellar of the majors this year ( worst) in regard to their 88.1-mph average exit velocity.

• Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Quick Takes San Francisco Giants:

Given that flyball pitchers hold a substantial advantage over flyball hitters, Landen Roupp and his 44.7% underlying FB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a good position today matching up with 5 opposing FB hitters.

• This mostly has to do with the way the hitter's swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.

LaMonte Wade Jr. has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (53% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this game.

• The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.

Mike Yastrzemski pulls many of his flyballs (36.5% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

• This player's skill set matches up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Game Trends

• The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 5 games at home (+5.15 Units / 84% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games (+11.75 Units / 50% ROI)
• Rhys Hoskins has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.30 Units / 39% ROI)

Milwaukee Brewers vs San Francisco Giants Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Milwaukee Brewers 3.87, San Francisco Giants 4.28

• Date: April 24, 2025
• Venue: Oracle Park
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Tobias Myers - Brewers
  • Landen Roupp - Giants

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free MLB picks here.