Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Yankees Prediction – 3/27/2025

The 2025 MLB season kicks off with an exciting Opening Day clash between the Milwaukee Brewers and the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium. Scheduled for Thursday, March 27, at 3:05 p.m. ET, this game sets the stage for both teams' aspirations in the new season. Fans can catch the action live on ESPN and ESPN Deportes.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Yankees Game Preview

The Yankees enter the season with high expectations after a busy offseason. Notable additions include outfielder Cody Bellinger and first baseman Paul Goldschmidt, bolstering a lineup already featuring stars like Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton. However, the team faces early challenges with injuries to key players. Ace pitcher Gerrit Cole is sidelined for the season due to Tommy John surgery, and slugger Giancarlo Stanton is also unavailable for the opener. In Cole's absence, Carlos Rodón, who joined the Yankees on a six-year deal, will take the mound on Opening Day.

Rodón's performance will be pivotal for the Yankees. Last season, he posted a 14-8 record with a 3.75 ERA, demonstrating his capability to anchor the rotation. The lineup, despite Stanton's absence, remains formidable. Aaron Judge, coming off a season with 39 home runs and 98 RBIs, will lead the offense, supported by Bellinger and Goldschmidt, both of whom bring significant power and experience to the plate.

On the other side, the Brewers aim to start strong after an offseason of strategic changes. With the departure of shortstop Willy Adames, Joey Ortiz is expected to fill the void, while Vinny Capra and Oliver Dunn share duties at third base. The pitching rotation sees Freddy Peralta as the ace, followed by a restructured lineup due to various offseason moves.

Peralta, slated to start on Opening Day, has been a consistent performer. Last season, he recorded an 11-9 record with a 3.68 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP. His ability to deliver quality starts will be crucial against the Yankees' potent lineup. Offensively, the Brewers rely on Christian Yelich, who had a solid previous season with a .285 batting average, 22 home runs, and 85 RBIs. Emerging talent Jackson Chourio also adds depth to the lineup, offering a blend of speed and power.

Betting Insights

As of March 27, 2025, the betting odds for the game are as follows:

• Moneyline: Yankees -155, Brewers +130
• Run Line: Yankees -1.5 (+140), Brewers +1.5 (-166)
• Over/Under: 8 runs (Over -105, Under -115)

These odds suggest that the Yankees are favored to win, with an implied win probability of approximately 60.8%. The over/under indicates expectations of a moderately high-scoring game.

Historically, the Yankees had a 57.7% success rate as moneyline favorites last season, while the Brewers won 53.6% of their games as underdogs. Notably, when the Brewers were underdogs with a moneyline of +125 or more, they had a 40% win rate.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Yankees Prediction

Considering the current team dynamics and player conditions, this Opening Day matchup presents intriguing possibilities. The Yankees, despite the absence of Gerrit Cole and Giancarlo Stanton, possess a strong lineup with Aaron Judge, Cody Bellinger, and Paul Goldschmidt. Carlos Rodón's role as the starting pitcher adds an element of uncertainty, given his mixed performance in the previous season.

The Brewers, led by Freddy Peralta on the mound, have the potential to capitalize on any vulnerabilities in the Yankees' lineup. Peralta's consistent performance and the offensive contributions from Christian Yelich and Jackson Chourio could pose challenges for the Yankees.

Given these factors, the game is expected to be closely contested. While the Yankees have the advantage of playing at home and a strong lineup, the Brewers' pitching and offensive capabilities should not be underestimated. Bettors might consider the value in backing the Brewers as underdogs, especially with the favorable moneyline odds. Additionally, considering both teams' offensive strengths and the over/under set at 8 runs, wagering on the over could be a prudent choice.

In conclusion, this Opening Day encounter between the Milwaukee Brewers and the New York Yankees promises to be an engaging and competitive game, setting the tone for an exciting MLB season ahead.

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free MLB picks here.