Los Angeles Angels vs Houston Astros Pick – 4/12/2025

Los Angeles Angels vs Houston Astros Betting Preview

On April 12, 2025, the Houston Astros will host the Los Angeles Angels at Minute Maid Park in a crucial American League West matchup. The Astros, currently struggling with a record of 6-7, are looking to turn their season around after a disappointing start. Meanwhile, the Angels are riding high with an impressive 8-5 record, showcasing their strong performance early in the season. In their previous game, the Astros secured a victory, a nice step in their attempted turnaround.

The Astros are projected to start Ryan Gusto, who has faced challenges this season, ranking as the 209th best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced statistics. Gusto's projections indicate he may pitch an average of 4.2 innings, allowing 2.3 earned runs, and striking out only 3.8 batters. His struggles could be a significant factor against a potent Angels lineup.

Tyler Anderson, projected to start for the Angels, also has his own set of challenges, ranking among the worst pitchers in the league. His projections suggest he will pitch around 5.5 innings, giving up 3.2 earned runs while striking out 4.0 batters. Both pitchers have been inconsistent, which could lead to a high-scoring affair given their projected stats.

With the Astros favored at -145 and an implied team total of 4.58 runs, they will need to capitalize on their home-field advantage to overcome the Angels' offensive prowess and Gusto's pitching woes.

Quick Takes Los Angeles Angels:

Among all starters, Tyler Anderson's fastball velocity of 89.4 mph grades out in the 2nd percentile since the start of last season.

• Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.

Quick Takes Houston Astros:

Ryan Gusto has been given a below-average leash since the start of last season, throwing 9.5 fewer adjusted pitches-per-game than the average starter.

• Pitchers with a shorter leash are more likely to get pulled earlier in games and record fewer outs.

Los Angeles Angels vs Houston Astros Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Los Angeles Angels 4.89, Houston Astros 5.04

• Date: April 12, 2025
• Venue: Minute Maid Park
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Tyler Anderson - Angels
  • Ryan Gusto - Astros

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