Kansas City Royals vs Texas Rangers Prediction & Picks 6/23/2024

Kansas City Royals

Kansas City Royals

Jun 23, 2024

Texas Rangers

Texas Rangers
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends

Kansas City Royals vs Texas Rangers Details

  • Date: June 23, 2024
  • Venue: Globe Life Field
  • Starting Pitchers:
    • Daniel Lynch - Royals
    • Jon Gray - Rangers

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Royals 135, Rangers -155
Runline: Royals 1.5 -155, Rangers -1.5 135
Over/Under Total: 8.5 -110

Kansas City Royals vs Texas Rangers Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Kansas City Royals - 41% Kansas City Royals - 38.18%
Texas Rangers - 59% Texas Rangers - 61.82%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Kansas City Royals vs Texas Rangers Betting Preview

As we head into the third game of the series on June 23, 2024, the Texas Rangers will host the Kansas City Royals at Globe Life Field. This American League matchup features two teams on different trajectories this season. The Rangers, sitting at 35-40, are having a below-average season, while the Royals, at 42-35, are performing above expectations.

The Rangers are turning to right-hander Jon Gray for this game. Gray has been a solid presence on the mound, and he'll look to neutralize a Royals offense that ranks 12th in MLB in team batting average and 7th in stolen bases. On the other side, Kansas City will counter with lefty Daniel Lynch. Lynch will face a Rangers offense that has struggled in the power department, ranking 22nd in both home runs and stolen bases.

Josh H. Smith has been a bright spot for the Rangers recently. Over the last week, Smith has posted a .400 batting average with a 1.338 OPS, including 5 RBIs and a home run. Meanwhile, MJ Melendez has been hot for the Royals, batting .389 with a 1.172 OPS over the last seven games, contributing 4 RBIs and a home run.

According to THE BAT X, the leading MLB projection system, the Rangers are favored with a projected win probability of 62%. This aligns with their implied win probability of 58%, suggesting they might have the upper hand in this game. The Rangers are expected to score an average of 5.07 runs, a very high projection, while the Royals are projected to score 4.15 runs, an average projection.

Bettors should note that the Game Total is set at 8.5 runs, an average figure. With the Rangers' offense showing signs of life through Smith and the Royals' consistent performance from Melendez, this game could see some offensive fireworks.

Kansas City Royals vs Texas Rangers Prediction

Final Score: Kansas City Royals 4.15 vs Texas Rangers 5.07

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Consensus

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+136
12% KC
-161
88% TEX

Total Pick Consensus

8.0/-110
10% UN
8.0/-110
90% OV

Spread Pick Consensus

+1.5/-155
34% KC
-1.5/+130
66% TEX

Stats

  • Team Stats
  • Team Records
  • Pitchers
  • Recent Starts
KC
Team Stats
TEX
5.20
ERA
3.98
.260
Batting Avg Against
.236
1.41
WHIP
1.21
.304
BABIP
.282
9.1%
BB%
7.7%
20.4%
K%
22.5%
67.1%
LOB%
72.9%
.244
Batting Avg
.273
.394
SLG
.464
.695
OPS
.807
.301
OBP
.342
KC
Team Records
TEX
31-18
Home
21-21
17-23
Road
18-27
39-35
vRHP
27-33
9-6
vLHP
12-15
22-25
vs>.500
18-29
26-16
vs<.500
21-19
6-4
Last10
2-8
9-11
Last20
7-13
13-17
Last30
12-18
A. Marsh
M. Scherzer
33.0
Innings
N/A
6
GS
N/A
0-6
W-L
N/A
6.27
ERA
N/A
9.55
K/9
N/A
5.18
BB/9
N/A
2.73
HR/9
N/A
77.8%
LOB%
N/A
23.3%
HR/FB%
N/A
7.18
FIP
N/A
5.37
xFIP
N/A
.277
AVG
N/A
22.9%
K%
N/A
12.4%
BB%
N/A
4.91
SIERA
N/A

A. Marsh

Date
Opp
W/L
IP
H
R
ER
SO
BB
ST-PC

M. Scherzer

Date
Opp
W/L
IP
H
R
ER
SO
BB
ST-PC
5/1 PHI
Eflin N/A
W10-6 N/A
6
5
4
4
9
1
68-94
4/25 STL
Mikolas N/A
W5-2 N/A
7
2
0
0
10
1
71-101
4/19 SF
Webb N/A
W3-1 N/A
7
1
1
1
10
3
66-102
4/13 PHI
Nola N/A
W9-6 N/A
5
5
1
1
7
3
66-96
4/8 WSH
Gray N/A
W7-3 N/A
6
3
3
3
6
1
53-80

Odds

  • MoneyLine
  • RunLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
KC TEX
KC TEX
Consensus
+130
-160
+136
-161
+130
-155
+136
-162
+104
-122
+134
-158
+128
-150
+133
-157
+130
-155
+140
-165
+135
-160
+140
-165
Open
Current
Book
KC TEX
KC TEX
Consensus
+1.5 (-157)
-1.5 (+152)
+1.5 (-157)
-1.5 (+131)
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
-1.5 (+168)
+1.5 (-205)
+1.5 (-154)
-1.5 (+128)
+1.5 (-167)
-1.5 (+138)
+1.5 (-167)
-1.5 (+138)
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
+1.5 (-145)
-1.5 (+135)
+1.5 (-145)
-1.5 (+120)
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
8.5 (-110)
8.5 (-110)
8.0 (-112)
8.0 (-109)
8.5 (-110)
8.5 (-110)
8.0 (-110)
8.0 (-110)
8.5 (-115)
8.5 (-105)
8.5 (+100)
8.5 (-122)
8.5 (-110)
8.5 (-109)
8.0 (-113)
8.0 (-107)
8.5 (-110)
8.5 (-110)
8.5 (+100)
8.5 (-120)
8.5 (-110)
8.5 (-110)
8.0 (-110)
8.0 (-110)