Colorado Rockies vs Tampa Bay Rays Pick – 3/30/2025

Colorado Rockies vs Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

On March 30, 2025, the Tampa Bay Rays will host the Colorado Rockies at George M. Steinbrenner Field in an intriguing interleague matchup. Both teams enter this game with a record of 1-1, having split their first two games of the season. In their most recent outing, the Rays narrowly fell to the Rockies by a score of 2-1, while the Rockies celebrated their victory with the same scoreline.

Taj Bradley is projected to take the mound for the Rays, aiming to build on a solid performance from his last start, where he pitched six innings with no earned runs, seven strikeouts, and only three hits. Bradley ranks as the 77th best starting pitcher in MLB, indicating he's above average in talent. Meanwhile, Ryan Feltner, projected to start for the Rockies, has struggled in the past, with the projections suggesting he is among the worst pitchers in the league. This could prove significant, especially considering that Feltner is projected to allow 4.5 hits and 1.8 walks—both of which are concerning stats.

Offensively, the Rays rank 29th in MLB for team batting average and 28th in home runs this season, indicating a lack of power despite their ability to steal bases, where they rank 4th overall. The Rockies are faring somewhat better offensively, ranking 18th in both team batting average and runs scored, but their power numbers are merely average.

With the Rays currently being favored with a moneyline of -200, there's potential value here, especially given their strong bullpen, ranked 8th in MLB. If Taj Bradley can deliver a strong performance and the Rays' offense can capitalize on Feltner's vulnerabilities, they may well exceed expectations in this matchup.

Quick Takes Colorado Rockies:

In his previous game started, Ryan Feltner was on point and allowed 0 ER.

• A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.

Since the start of last season, Michael Toglia's 17.3% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 99th percentile among his peers.

• Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Projected catcher Hunter Goodman profiles as a horrible pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

• Pitch framing is a catcher's ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, "stealing" strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

Quick Takes Tampa Bay Rays:

Tallying 91.7 adjusted pitches per GS since the start of last season on average, Taj Bradley places in the 80th percentile.

• Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.

Kameron Misner has hit 0% of his balls in the air 100 mph or greater since the start of last season, checking in at the 0th percentile.

• To hit a home run, the ball must be hit in the air and hit hard enough to clear the fence. This metric is a strong indicator of this kind of power.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Tampa Bay Rays' bullpen profiles as the 8th-best out of all major league teams.

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game's runs.

Game Trends

• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 86 games (+22.45 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 131 games (+6.20 Units / 5% ROI)
• Taj Bradley has hit the Earned Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+5.10 Units / 47% ROI)

• Date: March 30, 2025
• Venue: George M. Steinbrenner Field
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Ryan Feltner - Rockies
  • Taj Bradley - Rays

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