Cleveland Guardians vs Colorado Rockies Odds & Picks – 5/29/2024

Cleveland Guardians vs Colorado Rockies Betting Pick, Prediction & Preview

• Date: May 29, 2024
• Venue: Coors Field
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Logan Allen - Guardians
  • Ty Blach - Rockies

Betting Odds

Cleveland Guardians vs Colorado Rockies Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Cleveland Guardians vs Colorado Rockies Betting Preview

The Colorado Rockies are set to host the Cleveland Guardians in an Interleague matchup at Coors Field on May 29, 2024. The Rockies, who currently hold a disappointing 19-35 record this season, will be looking to turn their fortunes around against the Guardians, who boast an impressive 37-18 record.

On the mound, the Rockies are projected to start left-handed pitcher Ty Blach. Blach has started four games this year, with a win-loss record of 1-2 and an ERA of 4.55. While his numbers are average, his 5.39 xERA suggests that he may have been lucky so far and could struggle going forward. Blach is a low-strikeout pitcher, facing a Guardians offense that has the fewest strikeouts in MLB, which may give the Guardians an advantage.

Opposing Blach will be left-handed pitcher Logan Allen of the Guardians. Allen has started 11 games this year, with a record of 6-2 and an ERA of 4.89. However, his 4.06 xFIP indicates that he has been unlucky and could perform better in the future. Allen is projected to pitch an average of 5.2 innings, allowing 3.3 earned runs, striking out 4.7 batters, and giving up 6.6 hits.

In terms of offense, the Rockies rank 19th in MLB, while the Guardians rank 13th. The Rockies have struggled in team batting average, ranking 18th, and team home runs, ranking 24th. The Guardians, on the other hand, have excelled in stolen bases, ranking 7th.

Based on the current odds, the Guardians are favored to win with an implied win probability of 58%, while the Rockies are underdogs with a 42% win probability. THE BAT X projects the Guardians as the favorites with a projected win probability of 56%.

With the Guardians having a stronger record and a more favorable projection, they enter this game as the favorites. However, anything can happen in baseball, and the Rockies will look to defy the odds and turn their season around with a strong performance against the Guardians.

Quick Takes Cleveland Guardians:

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects that Logan Allen will ring up an average of 15.3 outs in today's game.

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Jose Ramirez will bat from his weak side against Ty Blach in today's matchup.

• Right-handed hitters perform better against left-handed pitchers (and visa-versa). This can have a huge impact on whether a hitter will perform well or struggle on any given day.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Austin Hedges ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.

Quick Takes Colorado Rockies:

With 7 bats who hit from the other side in the opposing team's projected batting order, Ty Blach has a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's game.

• Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.

Compared to their .315 overall projected rate, the .296 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA of the Colorado Rockies projected lineup in this game suggests this version of the lineup a fair amount a bit watered down.

• Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today's lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren't accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Game Trends

• The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 31 games (+7.50 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 54 games (+9.90 Units / 16% ROI)
• Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 22 games (+9.20 Units / 30% ROI)

Cleveland Guardians vs Colorado Rockies Prediction

Final Score: Cleveland Guardians 6.43 vs Colorado Rockies 5.39

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