Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction, Preview & Same Game Parlay - 7/28/2026
Updated July 28, 2026
Updated July 28, 2026
The Cubs and Cardinals meet for the second time in as many nights at Busch Stadium on Tuesday. The Cubs took the opener 7-3 behind a four-hit performance from Nico Hoerner, and they arrive at game two enjoying a red-hot second half while St. Louis limps in on a 2-8 stretch that has been the product of some major struggles on offense. With Colin Rea and Michael McGreevy on the mound in a series that carries real importance for both clubs, bettors have plenty to chew on tonight.
Chicago (60-46) enters play second in the NL Central and comfortably ahead of the Wild Card pack, while St. Louis (53-53) has slid to fourth and is now fighting just to stay in the Wild Card picture. The gap in recent form is stark: the Cubs are 6-4 over their last 10 games with a .283 team batting average and a 3.16 ERA, having outscored opponents by 28 runs in that span. The Cardinals, by contrast, are 2-8 with a .220 average and a bloated 4.59 ERA, getting outscored by 12 runs. Pete Crow-Armstrong (.288, 23 home runs) and Hoerner (19-for-44 with 10 RBI over his last 10 games) give Chicago a lineup that keeps producing even when the pitching staff is shaky.
Michael McGreevy has been the one bright spot for St. Louis, posting a 3.07 ERA and a strong 1.13 WHIP across 20 starts, and he'll need every bit of that form against a Cubs lineup that ranks third in the majors in runs per game. Rea has been more hittable (4.85 ERA) but gets a Cardinals offense that has gone cold at the worst possible time. Our model leans Chicago, projecting a moderately high-scoring win that keeps the Cubs' road success going.
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Total Parlay Odds: +360
The reasoning here is straightforward. Chicago's offense has been productive enough to carry a favorite price on the moneyline, Crow-Armstrong has been one of the more consistent extra-base threats in the league with 23 home runs on the year, and a total set at 9 looks beatable given the Cardinals' 4.59 ERA over the last 10 games paired with a Cubs lineup that scores at an elite clip league-wide.
Category | Chicago Cubs | St. Louis Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
Batting Average | .248 | .240 |
OPS | .755 | .696 |
wOBA | .332 | .308 |
wRC+ | 111 | 95 |
Team ERA | 4.22 | 4.17 |
xFIP | 4.28 | 4.27 |
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