Chicago Cubs

Chicago Cubs

Jul 13, 2024

St. Louis Cardinals

St. Louis Cardinals
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Chicago Cubs at St. Louis Cardinals Game 1 Prediction For 7/13/2024

Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals Game 1 Details

  • Date: July 13, 2024
  • Venue: Busch Stadium
  • Starting Pitchers:
    • Hayden Wesneski - Cubs
    • Lance Lynn - Cardinals

Cubs vs Cardinals Game 1 Betting Odds

Moneyline: Cubs +115, Cardinals -135
Runline: Cubs 1.5 -180, Cardinals -1.5 +150
Over/Under Total: 9

Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals Game 1 Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Chicago Cubs - 45% Chicago Cubs - 43.62%
St. Louis Cardinals - 55% St. Louis Cardinals - 56.38%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals Game 1 Betting Preview

On Saturday, the Chicago Cubs and St. Louis Cardinals will play in a double-header from Busch Stadium in St. Louis. In the first game of that double-header, both teams will look to set a tone for the day's action, with the Cubs looking for a second straight win over the Cards this weekend while the Cardinals look to avenge their 5-1 loss from Friday.

In Game 1 of this double-header, the Chicago Cubs will send Hayden Wesneski to the mound. Wesneski is 3-5 on the season and has an ERA of 3.67. He is coming off of his best outing of the season, where he threw 6.1 shutout innings against the Los Angeles Angels last Sunday. He will aim to follow that up with a strong performance against Chicago's biggest rivals.

For St. Louis, it will be Lance Lynn taking the hill for the opening game of this twin bill. Lynn has been mediocre throughout this season, posting a record of 4-4 with an ERA of 4.48. While his counterpart on the mound might be coming off his best start of the year, Lynn is coming off of his worst. The Cardinals starter gave up 10 earned runs in 2.2 innings of work against the Washington Nationals last Saturday. He will simply need to be better if the Cardinals want a shot in this game.

Starting pitching will be even more important than usual in this game, as the Cubs and Cardinals need to ration their bullpen for two games instead of just one today. If either of these starters fails to make it deep into this contest, they could negatively impact their team's chances of winning not just this contest, but the one scheduled for later in the day.

Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals Game 1 Prediction

Final Score: Chicago Cubs 4.03 vs St. Louis Cardinals 4.51

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free MLB picks here.

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Consensus

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+124
26% CHC
-147
74% STL

Total Pick Consensus

8.5/-108
37% UN
8.5/-112
63% OV

Spread Pick Consensus

+1.5/-170
13% CHC
-1.5/+142
87% STL

Stats

  • Team Stats
  • Team Records
  • Pitchers
  • Recent Starts
CHC
Team Stats
STL
4.22
ERA
4.59
.243
Batting Avg Against
.268
1.29
WHIP
1.43
.289
BABIP
.322
8.3%
BB%
8.3%
22.0%
K%
20.4%
71.1%
LOB%
69.8%
.255
Batting Avg
.259
.419
SLG
.436
.751
OPS
.770
.332
OBP
.333
CHC
Team Records
STL
41-36
Home
43-37
38-40
Road
35-40
66-57
vRHP
55-58
13-19
vLHP
23-19
41-43
vs>.500
41-47
38-33
vs<.500
37-30
4-6
Last10
5-5
10-10
Last20
11-9
18-12
Last30
17-13
J. Assad
K. Gibson
60.2
Innings
N/A
3
GS
N/A
2-2
W-L
N/A
3.12
ERA
N/A
6.68
K/9
N/A
3.86
BB/9
N/A
0.89
HR/9
N/A
81.6%
LOB%
N/A
10.0%
HR/FB%
N/A
4.36
FIP
N/A
4.69
xFIP
N/A
.230
AVG
N/A
18.1%
K%
N/A
10.5%
BB%
N/A
4.82
SIERA
N/A

J. Assad

Date
Opp
W/L
IP
H
R
ER
SO
BB
ST-PC

K. Gibson

Date
Opp
W/L
IP
H
R
ER
SO
BB
ST-PC
4/30 NYM
Walker N/A
W4-1 N/A
4.1
2
1
0
3
5
47-84
4/25 COL
Freeland N/A
W8-2 N/A
5.2
3
2
2
4
2
59-94
4/19 COL
Freeland N/A
L5-6 N/A
6
6
3
3
3
2
56-90
4/14 MIA
Alcantara N/A
L3-4 N/A
4.2
5
4
4
6
3
56-91
4/9 OAK
Irvin N/A
W4-2 N/A
7
2
0
0
10
0
57-82

Odds

  • MoneyLine
  • RunLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
CHC STL
CHC STL
Consensus
-140
-138
+124
-147
+110
-130
+124
-148
+118
-138
+122
-144
+114
-132
+125
-148
+110
-130
+118
-140
-10000
-10000
+125
-150
Open
Current
Book
CHC STL
CHC STL
Consensus
+1.5 (-172)
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-172)
-1.5 (+143)
+1.5 (-166)
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-166)
-1.5 (+140)
+1.5 (-172)
-1.5 (+155)
+1.5 (-172)
-1.5 (+140)
+1.5 (-175)
-1.5 (+163)
+1.5 (-175)
-1.5 (+143)
+1.5 (-170)
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-170)
-1.5 (+143)
+1.5 (-160)
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-160)
-1.5 (+135)
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
8.5 (-105)
8.5 (-115)
8.5 (-114)
8.5 (-107)
8.5 (-105)
8.5 (-115)
8.5 (-115)
8.5 (-105)
8.5 (-105)
8.5 (-115)
8.5 (-110)
8.5 (-110)
8.5 (-108)
8.5 (-112)
8.5 (-114)
8.5 (-107)
8.5 (-110)
8.5 (-110)
8.5 (-110)
8.5 (-110)
8.0 (-120)
8.0 (+100)
8.5 (-110)
8.5 (-110)