Boston Red Sox

Boston Red Sox

Apr 26, 2025

Cleveland Guardians

Cleveland Guardians
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
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Boston Red Sox vs Cleveland Guardians Game 1 Prediction – 4/26/2025

Boston Red Sox vs Cleveland Guardians Game 1 Betting Preview

As the Cleveland Guardians host the Boston Red Sox on April 26, 2025, both teams are looking to gain ground in the American League. Currently, the Guardians hold a record of 14-10, while the Red Sox sit at 14-13. These two teams are riding mixed momentum into the contest, as both were defeated in their respective last games on April 23; the Guardians stumbled with a 5-1 loss, while the Red Sox narrowly fell 4-3. Here, they start off a double-header looking to set the tone before the second game.

For this matchup, the Guardians are projected to send Ben Lively to the mound. Lively comes into this game with a record of 1-2 for the year and an ERA of 3.86. Lively's contributions will be incredibly important in this game, as he looks to go deep into the game to help the Guardians bullpen go into Game 2 of this double-header without being spent. It will be interesting to see if he can do that against a strong Boston offense.

On the other side, Boston will go with Tanner Houck as its starting pitcher. Houck is off to a rough start this season despite getting some early AL Cy Young Award hype going into the 2025 campaign. Houck is 0-2 and he has an ERA of 7.66. The Red Sox have gone 1-4 in Houck's five starts to begin the season and they will look to get a rare win with Houck on the mound here.

Despite both teams' struggles with their bats—Cleveland ranks 20th for offensive performance—Boston's recent hitting gives them the edge. The projections suggest a close contest, yet the Guardians' elite bullpen, ranked 1st in MLB, could swing the game in their favor.

Boston Red Sox vs Cleveland Guardians Game 1 Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Boston Red Sox 4.25, Cleveland Guardians 3.55

  • Date: April 26, 2025
  • Venue: Progressive Field
  • Starting Pitchers:
    • Tanner Houck - Red Sox
    • Ben Lively - Guardians

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Consensus

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-112
49% BOS
-108
51% CLE

Total Pick Consensus

8.0/-108
26% UN
8.0/-112
74% OV

Spread Pick Consensus

-1.5/+150
34% BOS
+1.5/-180
66% CLE

Stats

  • Team Stats
  • Team Records
  • Pitchers
  • Recent Starts
BOS
Team Stats
CLE
4.32
ERA
3.76
.252
Batting Avg Against
.240
1.31
WHIP
1.27
.302
BABIP
.286
7.6%
BB%
8.3%
22.9%
K%
21.3%
72.8%
LOB%
74.3%
.262
Batting Avg
.250
.431
SLG
.380
.759
OPS
.693
.327
OBP
.313
BOS
Team Records
CLE
8-6
Home
7-2
6-7
Road
7-8
13-10
vRHP
12-6
1-3
vLHP
2-4
3-8
vs>.500
2-4
11-5
vs<.500
12-6
6-4
Last10
6-4
11-9
Last20
12-8
14-13
Last30
14-10
T. Houck
B. Lively
67.2
Innings
N/A
13
GS
N/A
3-6
W-L
N/A
5.05
ERA
N/A
8.51
K/9
N/A
3.06
BB/9
N/A
1.20
HR/9
N/A
64.5%
LOB%
N/A
16.4%
HR/FB%
N/A
4.22
FIP
N/A
3.82
xFIP
N/A
.238
AVG
N/A
22.5%
K%
N/A
8.1%
BB%
N/A
4.15
SIERA
N/A

T. Houck

Date
Opp
W/L
IP
H
R
ER
SO
BB
ST-PC
4/21 TOR
Gausman N/A
L2-3 N/A
5
3
2
2
4
1
47-71
4/16 MIN
Gray N/A
W4-0 N/A
5.2
2
0
0
4
3
50-89
4/10 NYY
Montgomery N/A
W4-3 N/A
3.1
6
3
3
3
3
45-78
10/2 WSH
Gray N/A
W5-3 N/A
5
0
0
0
8
0
39-53
9/15 SEA
Gonzales N/A
W9-4 N/A
4.1
4
3
3
7
1
45-71

B. Lively

Date
Opp
W/L
IP
H
R
ER
SO
BB
ST-PC
4/26 ARI
Koch 118
L2-8 9
2.1
7
7
7
1
4
37-67
4/20 PIT
Nova -101
W2-1 8
6
5
1
1
4
3
56-96
4/15 TBA
Yarbrough -140
W10-4 8
4
7
3
3
5
0
41-66
4/9 CIN
Reed 119
W6-5 9
5.2
9
5
5
7
2
65-100
4/3 NYN
Harvey -125
L0-2 7.5
5.2
6
2
2
5
1
62-91

Odds

  • MoneyLine
  • RunLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
BOS CLE
BOS CLE
Consensus
-105
-115
-111
-106
-105
-115
-112
-108
-106
-110
-112
-104
Open
Current
Book
BOS CLE
BOS CLE
Consensus
-1.5 (+140)
+1.5 (-174)
-1.5 (+148)
+1.5 (-179)
-1.5 (+154)
+1.5 (-185)
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+158)
+1.5 (-194)
-1.5 (+146)
+1.5 (-178)
-1.5 (+140)
+1.5 (-175)
-1.5 (+145)
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+158)
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-178)
-1.5 (+154)
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-185)
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
8.0 (+105)
8.0 (-125)
8.0 (-112)
8.0 (-108)
8.0 (+102)
8.0 (-122)
8.0 (-112)
8.0 (-108)
7.5 (-110)
7.5 (-110)
8.0 (-110)
8.0 (-110)
7.5 (-117)
7.5 (-104)
8.0 (-114)
8.0 (-106)
8.0 (+105)
8.0 (-125)
8.0 (-110)
8.0 (-110)
7.5 (-120)
7.5 (+100)
8.0 (-110)
8.0 (-110)

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