Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Pick – 3/29/2025

Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

As the Toronto Blue Jays prepare to face the Baltimore Orioles on March 29, 2025, both teams find themselves with identical records of 1-1, indicating an average start to their seasons. This matchup, part of a tightly contested series, holds significance as both clubs look to gain momentum early in the year.

In their most recent game, the Blue Jays managed to secure a win, which was important for their confidence. They will send Max Scherzer to the mound, who is currently ranked as the 85th best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced metrics, marking him as an above-average option. Despite projecting to pitch only 4.8 innings and allowing 2.2 earned runs, Scherzer’s strikeout rate of 5.6 could be pivotal against an Orioles lineup that has struggled historically against strong pitching.

On the other side, the Orioles will counter with Dean Kremer, who, despite showing potential, is ranked among the worst pitchers in MLB. Kremer projects to allow 2.6 earned runs over 5.0 innings, but his high projected hits allowed (5.1) and walks (1.6) could spell trouble against a Blue Jays offense that is projected to score 4.45 runs.

With an average game total of 8.5 runs, betting markets suggest a close contest, reflected in the Blue Jays’ moneyline set at -130 and the Orioles at +110. The projections indicate that while both teams are evenly matched, the Blue Jays have the edge, particularly with Scherzer’s experience and capability to limit damage. As both teams vie for an early series lead, the outcome could hinge on which pitcher can best navigate the opposing lineup.

Quick Takes Baltimore Orioles:

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the right side of the dish, Adley Rutschman will bat from his bad side against Max Scherzer in today's matchup.

• Right-handed hitters perform better against left-handed pitchers (and visa-versa). This can have a huge impact on whether a hitter will perform well or struggle on any given day.

Quick Takes Toronto Blue Jays:

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Max Scherzer to be on a pitch count today, projecting a maximum of 72 pitches.

• A pitcher who is on a pitch count is likely to be pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.

Game Trends

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 49 games at home (+12.70 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Run Line in 38 of their last 60 away games (+15.85 Units / 20% ROI)

• Date: March 29, 2025
• Venue: Rogers Centre
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Dean Kremer - Orioles
  • Max Scherzer - Blue Jays

Betting Odds

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