Atlanta Braves vs New York Yankees Prediction, Preview, & Odds – 6/23/2024

Atlanta Braves vs New York Yankees Details

• Date: June 23, 2024
• Venue: Yankee Stadium
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Max Fried - Braves
  • Nestor Cortes - Yankees

Betting Odds

Atlanta Braves vs New York Yankees Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Atlanta Braves vs New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are set to host the Atlanta Braves on June 23, 2024, in what promises to be an intriguing interleague matchup at Yankee Stadium. Both teams are enjoying strong seasons with the Yankees boasting a 51-27 record and the Braves sitting at 42-31. Although the market suggests this will be a close game with both teams having an implied win probability of 50%, THE BAT X, the leading MLB projection system, gives a slight edge to Atlanta with a 53% win probability.

On the mound, the Yankees will start Nestor Cortes, a left-handed pitcher ranked the 37th best starting pitcher in MLB. Cortes has been solid all season and will look to stifle the Braves' offense, which ranks 12th in MLB in both team batting average and home runs. Conversely, the Braves will counter with Max Fried, aiming to tackle a Yankees' lineup that ranks 2nd in team home runs and 9th in team batting average.

Offensively, the Yankees will rely on the recent form of Aaron Judge, who has been their best hitter over the past week. Judge has posted impressive numbers, including a .313 batting average and a 1.076 OPS, along with 2 home runs and 4 RBIs in his last five games. On the other side, Austin Riley has been scorching hot for the Braves, boasting a .500 batting average and a 1.775 OPS over the past week, with 3 home runs and 6 RBIs in six games.

Despite New York's offensive firepower, their performance in stolen bases has been lackluster, ranking 26th, while the Braves fare even worse, ranking 29th. This game could come down to power hitting, where the Yankees hold an edge, but the Braves have shown consistency and depth, evidenced by their competitive record and recent performances.

With the game total set at 8.5 runs, this showdown at Yankee Stadium is loaded with potential offensive fireworks, making it a must-watch for fans and bettors alike. Given the projections favoring Atlanta slightly, they may offer a bit of value in what is expected to be a tightly contested game.

Game Trends

• The New York Yankees have hit the Run Line in 37 of their last 61 games (+17.65 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 52 games (+15.30 Units / 26% ROI)

Atlanta Braves vs New York Yankees Prediction

Final Score: Atlanta Braves 5.05 vs New York Yankees 4.43

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