Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction & Odds – 8/5/2024

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cleveland Guardians Details

• Date: August 5, 2024
• Venue: Progressive Field
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Zac Gallen - D-Backs
  • Logan Allen - Guardians

Betting Odds

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cleveland Guardians Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

With the game between the Cleveland Guardians and the Arizona Diamondbacks set for August 5, 2024, fans can expect an exciting matchup as both teams look to continue their strong seasons. The Guardians currently sit with a record of 67-44, showcasing their impressive play this year, while the Diamondbacks are holding their ground at 60-52. This Interleague series opener will take place at Progressive Field, where home-field advantage could play a crucial role.

Cleveland’s Logan Allen is projected to take the mound, entering with an 8-4 record and a 5.67 ERA that doesn't reflect his potential, as his 4.61 xFIP suggests he has faced some misfortune. In contrast, Arizona's Zac Gallen, with a 9-5 record and a solid 3.56 ERA, is having an excellent season and ranks as the 31st best starting pitcher in MLB. Gallen's performance indicates he's been somewhat fortunate, with projections suggesting he may regress slightly moving forward.

The Guardians offense ranks 13th overall in MLB, showing a balanced attack but lacking in power, as they sit in the middle of the pack for home runs. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks are enjoying a more potent offensive presence, ranked 5th, with a notably high team batting average of 7th.

Both teams have shown potential for run production, but with Cleveland’s strong bullpen ranked 6th and Arizona’s at 3rd, the late innings could be pivotal in deciding this tightly contested game, reflected in the current moneyline of +110 for the Guardians and -130 for the Diamondbacks.

Quick Takes Arizona Diamondbacks:

Zac Gallen turned in a great performance in his previous outing and conceded 1 ER.

• A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 2nd-least strikeout-prone lineup today is the Arizona Diamondbacks with a 18.9% underlying K%.

• THE BAT X analyzes each player in today's specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Quick Takes Cleveland Guardians:

Recording 14.6 outs per game per started this year on average, Logan Allen places him the 14th percentile.

• A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.

The Cleveland Guardians bullpen projects as the 6th-best in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game's runs.

Game Trends

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 66 of their last 111 games (+16.25 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 44 games (+14.50 Units / 28% ROI)
• Corbin Carroll has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 14 games (+13.00 Units / 93% ROI)

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction

Final Score: Arizona Diamondbacks 4.76 vs Cleveland Guardians 4.2

Get daily MLB picks here.