COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Western Michigan enters with a 2-2 record and a more stable statistical profile, averaging 24.0 points and 297.8 yards per game while allowing 20.0 points per game. Buffalo is also 2-2, but the split is less encouraging because the Bulls have been outscored badly overall and are allowing 33.3 points and 426.3 yards per game. Buffalo’s offense has averaged 21.3 points and 314.3 yards per game, with a heavy run game that has helped keep it competitive, but the defense has repeatedly put too much pressure on the offense. Western Michigan’s balanced offense and Buffalo’s defensive leaks make this a strong environment for points.
Western Michigan should control this game more often than not, but the stronger betting angle is the total because Buffalo’s defense has been too vulnerable to trust and Western Michigan has enough offensive balance to help the score climb. A projected final of Western Michigan 31, Buffalo 17 points to a comfortable Broncos win and a game total that lands above the market number.