COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Virginia enters with a 3-1 record and a strong scoring margin, powered by 40.5 points per game and a defense that has held opponents to 13.0 points per game. Florida State is 2-2 and has been more volatile, with an offense that scores 32.0 per game but a defense giving up 25.3. Virginia’s passing game has averaged 254.5 yards per game and its rushing attack 192.8, while Florida State has posted 235.5 passing yards and 172.3 rushing yards per game. Defensively, Virginia has been much tighter on yards per play allowed, while Florida State has struggled to slow opponents, especially through the air.
Virginia has the better balance of offense and defense, and the numbers point to a narrow road win. Florida State can score enough to keep this competitive, but Virginia’s superior defensive efficiency and stronger point differential make the Cavaliers the more trustworthy side. My projection is Virginia Cavaliers 31, Florida State Seminoles 27, which supports Virginia on the moneyline.
