COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Virginia enters with a 3-1 record, a 40.5 points per game offense, and a defense that has held opponents to 13.0 points per game. Florida State is 2-2, scoring 32.0 points per game but allowing 25.3, and its defense has struggled to contain opponents in the passing game. Virginia has produced 447.3 total yards per game with 254.5 passing yards per game, while Florida State is at 407.8 total yards per game and 235.5 passing yards per game. The Cavaliers’ defensive numbers are better across the board, and that steadier balance is the main reason they grade out as the side with more betting value.
Virginia’s offense has been more productive, its defense has been much harder to score on, and its overall form is better than Florida State’s despite the road setting. Florida State can score enough to keep this competitive, but Virginia’s efficiency edge on both sides points to a narrow win. The projected final score is Virginia Cavaliers 31, Florida State Seminoles 28, with Virginia winning outright.