COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Texas has won its first two games by leaning on an offense that gains 426.0 yards per game and scores 41.5 points per game, while its defense has allowed 15.0 points and 360.5 yards per game. UTSA has been productive too, averaging 462.5 yards and 38.0 points per game, with a run game that helps balance its offense. Defensively, UTSA has given up 21.0 points and 451.5 yards per game, which is a clear concern against a Texas attack that can finish drives efficiently. The difference in overall efficiency favors Texas, but UTSA’s ability to score and stay efficient enough on offense gives it a chance to hang around longer than a typical heavy favorite expects.
Texas is the better team on paper and should control the game, but the market has asked a lot of the Longhorns to win by such a large margin. UTSA has been productive enough on offense to keep this from becoming a comfortable cover for Texas unless the Longhorns play a full four quarters at a high level. The projected final score is Texas Longhorns 41, UTSA Roadrunners 14, which points to Texas winning comfortably but UTSA staying inside the number.
