COLLEGE FOOTBALL

South Alabama enters with a 2-2 record and a stronger statistical profile on both sides of the ball, led by 31.3 points per game, 421.3 yards per game, and 5.8 yards per play. UL Monroe has struggled to keep pace at 0-4, allowing 42.8 points and 497.3 yards per game while producing only 21.3 points and 344.5 yards per game on offense. The Jaguars’ passing game is averaging 227.0 yards per game and their rushing attack is at 194.3, which gives them a more complete offensive ceiling than the Warhawks, whose offense has hovered at 201.3 passing yards and 143.3 rushing yards per game. If South Alabama avoids turnovers and finishes drives, the home team has the more reliable path to a multi-score win.
South Alabama should control this game from the start and win by multiple scores behind the better offense and the more trustworthy defense. UL Monroe has been too soft against the run and too vulnerable overall, which makes it hard to trust the road team to stay close for four quarters. My projected final score is South Alabama Jaguars 38, UL Monroe Warhawks 24.