COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Texas Tech comes in unbeaten at 4-0 with 36.3 points per game, 429.5 yards per game, and a passing attack producing 250.8 yards per game. The Red Raiders also allow only 18.5 points per game, giving them one of the cleaner two-way profiles in the matchup. Colorado is 2-2 and has been more volatile, scoring 21.5 points per game while allowing 24.5. The Buffaloes generate 242.5 passing yards per game and 156.5 rushing yards per game, but the defense has given up 355.0 yards per game and 5.1 yards per play, which is a problem against a Texas Tech offense that has been more efficient. Colorado has also been under .500 against the spread, while Texas Tech has been better overall in game control despite a modest ATS record.
Texas Tech should control this game from the start and has the more reliable offense, the better scoring output, and the stronger defensive baseline. Colorado’s ability to move the ball through the air gives it a path to keep this competitive early, but the Buffaloes’ defensive numbers point to too many scoring chances for the Red Raiders over four quarters. The projected final score is Texas Tech 38, Colorado 21, which supports Texas Tech covering and aligns with a game that can land above the posted total.
